Trader consensus in the OR-05 House race favors the Democratic Party at 46.5%, reflecting incumbent Janelle Bynum's incumbency advantage, $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of late March, and the district's D+4 partisan lean where Kamala Harris won convincingly in 2024. Republican odds languish at 17.5% amid a weak GOP primary field—Deschutes County Commissioner Patti Adair and political consultant Jonathan Lockwood—which forecasters like Cook Political Report cite in shifting the rating to Likely Democrat from toss-up status in prior cycles. Recruitment struggles, noted in January analyses, underscore limited challengers in this historically competitive battleground spanning Portland suburbs and Bend. May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOR-05 House Election Winner
OR-05 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
80%
Republican Party
17%
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$300 Vol.
80%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the OR-05 House race favors the Democratic Party at 46.5%, reflecting incumbent Janelle Bynum's incumbency advantage, $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of late March, and the district's D+4 partisan lean where Kamala Harris won convincingly in 2024. Republican odds languish at 17.5% amid a weak GOP primary field—Deschutes County Commissioner Patti Adair and political consultant Jonathan Lockwood—which forecasters like Cook Political Report cite in shifting the rating to Likely Democrat from toss-up status in prior cycles. Recruitment struggles, noted in January analyses, underscore limited challengers in this historically competitive battleground spanning Portland suburbs and Bend. May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$300Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the OR-05 House race favors the Democratic Party at 46.5%, reflecting incumbent Janelle Bynum's incumbency advantage, $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of late March, and the district's D+4 partisan lean where Kamala Harris won convincingly in 2024. Republican odds languish at 17.5% amid a weak GOP primary field—Deschutes County Commissioner Patti Adair and political consultant Jonathan Lockwood—which forecasters like Cook Political Report cite in shifting the rating to Likely Democrat from toss-up status in prior cycles. Recruitment struggles, noted in January analyses, underscore limited challengers in this historically competitive battleground spanning Portland suburbs and Bend. May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$300Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the OR-05 House race favors the Democratic Party at 46.5%, reflecting incumbent Janelle Bynum's incumbency advantage, $2.3 million cash-on-hand as of late March, and the district's D+4 partisan lean where Kamala Harris won convincingly in 2024. Republican odds languish at 17.5% amid a weak GOP primary field—Deschutes County Commissioner Patti Adair and political consultant Jonathan Lockwood—which forecasters like Cook Political Report cite in shifting the rating to Likely Democrat from toss-up status in prior cycles. Recruitment struggles, noted in January analyses, underscore limited challengers in this historically competitive battleground spanning Portland suburbs and Bend. May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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