Domestic abuse allegations against incumbent Republican Rep. Max Miller, stemming from his ongoing custody dispute with his ex-wife (the daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno), have sharply eroded his support in Ohio’s 7th Congressional District. The claims, which surfaced earlier in 2026 and include accusations involving their child, prompted Republican calls for his resignation and shifted nonpartisan ratings from “likely Republican” to toss-up. This environment has elevated Democratic challenger Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and Brook Park city council member, whose campaign emphasizes labor priorities such as the PRO Act and working-class economic concerns. Recent polling shows Poindexter competitive or ahead, and prediction markets reflect trader consensus that the scandal has made a Democratic flip the more probable outcome ahead of the November 3 general election.