Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 71% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' confirmed delays in casting for Bond 26, as stated at CinemaCon on April 17, 2026, where executives emphasized an intentional hold until the script by director Denis Villeneuve is finalized—pushing production to late 2026 or 2027 and release to 2028. Recent unverified reports positioning Jacob Elordi in "pole position" (early May sources) and Callum Turner leading rival betting markets have nudged their odds to 3.5% and 6%, respectively, ahead of Aaron Taylor-Johnson at 2.4%, but without official announcements or auditions, skepticism persists amid historical franchise caution post-Daniel Craig. Watch for script approval or test screenings as key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAktor James Bond berikutnya?
Aktor James Bond berikutnya?
Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 71%
Callum Turner 6.0%
Jacob Elordi 3.5%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.3%
$2,159,328 Vol.
$2,159,328 Vol.

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih
71%

Callum Turner
6%

Jacob Elordi
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Theo James
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 71%
Callum Turner 6.0%
Jacob Elordi 3.5%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.3%
$2,159,328 Vol.
$2,159,328 Vol.

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih
71%

Callum Turner
6%

Jacob Elordi
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Theo James
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Henry Cavill
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 71% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' confirmed delays in casting for Bond 26, as stated at CinemaCon on April 17, 2026, where executives emphasized an intentional hold until the script by director Denis Villeneuve is finalized—pushing production to late 2026 or 2027 and release to 2028. Recent unverified reports positioning Jacob Elordi in "pole position" (early May sources) and Callum Turner leading rival betting markets have nudged their odds to 3.5% and 6%, respectively, ahead of Aaron Taylor-Johnson at 2.4%, but without official announcements or auditions, skepticism persists amid historical franchise caution post-Daniel Craig. Watch for script approval or test screenings as key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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