The overwhelming 86.5% market-implied probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects Amazon MGM’s recent confirmation that the official casting search—led by director Nina Gold—has only just begun with initial auditions underway and no frontrunner selected. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline typical of franchise reboots, where secrecy around the next 007 remains paramount until a formal announcement. Speculation continues to swirl around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson based on meetings, recent roles, and industry buzz, yet these names carry single-digit odds because none have secured the part amid the early-stage process. Fresh reports of stage actor Tom Francis testing for the role have added minor momentum to lesser-known contenders without shifting the broader consensus that a decision remains months away.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAktor James Bond berikutnya?
Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 87%
Callum Turner 5.2%
Harris Dickinson 2.8%
Jacob Elordi 2.6%
$2,958,113 Vol.
$2,958,113 Vol.

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih
87%

Callum Turner
5%

Harris Dickinson
3%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%

Tom Holland
1%

Henry Cavill
1%

Theo James
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 87%
Callum Turner 5.2%
Harris Dickinson 2.8%
Jacob Elordi 2.6%
$2,958,113 Vol.
$2,958,113 Vol.

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih
87%

Callum Turner
5%

Harris Dickinson
3%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%

Tom Holland
1%

Henry Cavill
1%

Theo James
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The overwhelming 86.5% market-implied probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects Amazon MGM’s recent confirmation that the official casting search—led by director Nina Gold—has only just begun with initial auditions underway and no frontrunner selected. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline typical of franchise reboots, where secrecy around the next 007 remains paramount until a formal announcement. Speculation continues to swirl around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson based on meetings, recent roles, and industry buzz, yet these names carry single-digit odds because none have secured the part amid the early-stage process. Fresh reports of stage actor Tom Francis testing for the role have added minor momentum to lesser-known contenders without shifting the broader consensus that a decision remains months away.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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