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icon for Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

icon for Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 87%

Callum Turner 5.2%

Harris Dickinson 2.8%

Jacob Elordi 2.6%

Polymarket

$2,958,113 Vol.

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 87%

Callum Turner 5.2%

Harris Dickinson 2.8%

Jacob Elordi 2.6%

Polymarket

$2,958,113 Vol.

icon for Belum ada Bond yang dipilih

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih

$294,096 Vol.

87%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$155,562 Vol.

5%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$218,045 Vol.

3%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$283,611 Vol.

3%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$155,491 Vol.

2%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$266,086 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$450,364 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$53,142 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$126,957 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$149,628 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$177,424 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$255,874 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$248,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$62,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$61,058 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming 86.5% market-implied probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects Amazon MGM’s recent confirmation that the official casting search—led by director Nina Gold—has only just begun with initial auditions underway and no frontrunner selected. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline typical of franchise reboots, where secrecy around the next 007 remains paramount until a formal announcement. Speculation continues to swirl around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson based on meetings, recent roles, and industry buzz, yet these names carry single-digit odds because none have secured the part amid the early-stage process. Fresh reports of stage actor Tom Francis testing for the role have added minor momentum to lesser-known contenders without shifting the broader consensus that a decision remains months away.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,958,113
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming 86.5% market-implied probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects Amazon MGM’s recent confirmation that the official casting search—led by director Nina Gold—has only just begun with initial auditions underway and no frontrunner selected. Traders are pricing in the extended timeline typical of franchise reboots, where secrecy around the next 007 remains paramount until a formal announcement. Speculation continues to swirl around Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson based on meetings, recent roles, and industry buzz, yet these names carry single-digit odds because none have secured the part amid the early-stage process. Fresh reports of stage actor Tom Francis testing for the role have added minor momentum to lesser-known contenders without shifting the broader consensus that a decision remains months away.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,958,113
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 15 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Belum ada Bond yang dipilih" di 87%, diikuti oleh "Callum Turner" di 5%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 87¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" telah menghasilkan $3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 4, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?," jelajahi 15 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" adalah "Belum ada Bond yang dipilih" di 87%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Callum Turner" di 5%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.