**Avengers: Doomsday** commands the strongest trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability due to its status as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, combined with a prime December 18 holiday release window that historically drives blockbuster openings. Recent production updates and trailer momentum have reinforced expectations for record-breaking theatrical performance. **Toy Story 5** sits second at 17.3%, buoyed by its established Pixar brand and June 19 summer slot, while **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** at 13.0% benefits from Tom Holland's draw and a late-July date. Lower odds for titles like **The Super Mario Galaxy Movie** and **The Odyssey** reflect more modest franchise expectations or less optimal timing relative to peak event-film windows.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 79%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 12.4%
The Odyssey 5.5%
$20,730 Vol.
$20,730 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
79%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
8%
The Odyssey
6%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
3%
Toy Story 5
24%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 79%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 12.4%
The Odyssey 5.5%
$20,730 Vol.
$20,730 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
79%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
8%
The Odyssey
6%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
3%
Toy Story 5
24%
Dune: Messiah
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday** commands the strongest trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability due to its status as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, combined with a prime December 18 holiday release window that historically drives blockbuster openings. Recent production updates and trailer momentum have reinforced expectations for record-breaking theatrical performance. **Toy Story 5** sits second at 17.3%, buoyed by its established Pixar brand and June 19 summer slot, while **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** at 13.0% benefits from Tom Holland's draw and a late-July date. Lower odds for titles like **The Super Mario Galaxy Movie** and **The Odyssey** reflect more modest franchise expectations or less optimal timing relative to peak event-film windows.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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