**Avengers: Doomsday holds a slim edge in trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend, with its 50.5% implied probability reflecting strong early presales exceeding $50 million and MCU crossover momentum.** Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million July launch already sets a high bar, while the December 18 “Dunesday” clash with Dune: Messiah creates shared audience attention that could cap individual hauls despite massive anticipation for both. Toy Story 5’s June Pixar appeal, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’s November franchise draw, and other tentpoles add further variables, as historical patterns show ensemble superhero events and major sequels frequently trade places in the upper ranks depending on final tracking and word-of-mouth. Upcoming chart updates, final presale surges, and holiday competition will likely determine whether Doomsday or another release claims the slot.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhich movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 51%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 50%
Dune: Messiah 2.1%
Toy Story 5 <1%
$110,313 Vol.
$110,313 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
51%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
50%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 51%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 50%
Dune: Messiah 2.1%
Toy Story 5 <1%
$110,313 Vol.
$110,313 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$43,679 Vol.
51%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$55,859 Vol.
50%
Dune: Messiah
$6,333 Vol.
2%
Toy Story 5
$2,679 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday holds a slim edge in trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend, with its 50.5% implied probability reflecting strong early presales exceeding $50 million and MCU crossover momentum.** Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million July launch already sets a high bar, while the December 18 “Dunesday” clash with Dune: Messiah creates shared audience attention that could cap individual hauls despite massive anticipation for both. Toy Story 5’s June Pixar appeal, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’s November franchise draw, and other tentpoles add further variables, as historical patterns show ensemble superhero events and major sequels frequently trade places in the upper ranks depending on final tracking and word-of-mouth. Upcoming chart updates, final presale surges, and holiday competition will likely determine whether Doomsday or another release claims the slot.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Volume
$110,313Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday holds a slim edge in trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend, with its 50.5% implied probability reflecting strong early presales exceeding $50 million and MCU crossover momentum.** Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million July launch already sets a high bar, while the December 18 “Dunesday” clash with Dune: Messiah creates shared audience attention that could cap individual hauls despite massive anticipation for both. Toy Story 5’s June Pixar appeal, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’s November franchise draw, and other tentpoles add further variables, as historical patterns show ensemble superhero events and major sequels frequently trade places in the upper ranks depending on final tracking and word-of-mouth. Upcoming chart updates, final presale surges, and holiday competition will likely determine whether Doomsday or another release claims the slot.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$110,313Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday holds a slim edge in trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend, with its 50.5% implied probability reflecting strong early presales exceeding $50 million and MCU crossover momentum.** Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million July launch already sets a high bar, while the December 18 “Dunesday” clash with Dune: Messiah creates shared audience attention that could cap individual hauls despite massive anticipation for both. Toy Story 5’s June Pixar appeal, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’s November franchise draw, and other tentpoles add further variables, as historical patterns show ensemble superhero events and major sequels frequently trade places in the upper ranks depending on final tracking and word-of-mouth. Upcoming chart updates, final presale surges, and holiday competition will likely determine whether Doomsday or another release claims the slot.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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