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Politik·Pemilu AS

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Pemilu AS

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Stephen Lynch 61%

Patrick Roath 33%

Andrew Zylberfink 27.4%

Polymarket
BARU

Stephen Lynch 61%

Patrick Roath 33%

Andrew Zylberfink 27.4%

Polymarket
BARU

Stephen Lynch

$2,104 Vol.

61%

Patrick Roath

$0 Vol.

33%

Andrew Zylberfink

$131 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a 57% trader consensus implied probability to win Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, conservative Democratic record, and dominant Q1 fundraising with $1.18 million cash on hand versus challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath trails at 33.5% but gains from progressive endorsements like David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC and a March internal poll showing gains after voter education on Lynch's 2009 Affordable Care Act opposition vote. Andrew Zylberfink lingers at 42% despite suspending his campaign and withdrawing from the ballot, as markets await full confirmation amid multi-candidate dynamics and absent public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,235
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a 57% trader consensus implied probability to win Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, conservative Democratic record, and dominant Q1 fundraising with $1.18 million cash on hand versus challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath trails at 33.5% but gains from progressive endorsements like David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC and a March internal poll showing gains after voter education on Lynch's 2009 Affordable Care Act opposition vote. Andrew Zylberfink lingers at 42% despite suspending his campaign and withdrawing from the ballot, as markets await full confirmation amid multi-candidate dynamics and absent public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,235
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Stephen Lynch" di 61%, diikuti oleh "Patrick Roath" di 33%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 61¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Mar 3, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Stephen Lynch" di 61%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Patrick Roath" di 33%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.