Recent observational data from agencies including NOAA and Copernicus show May 2026 global surface temperatures ranking as the second warmest on record at roughly 1.07–1.12°C above the 20th-century average, supporting trader consensus around the 1.15–1.19°C bin for June relative to the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline. Persistent elevated sea surface temperatures, residual effects from prior El Niño conditions, and accelerating long-term anthropogenic warming trends underpin this positioning, even as a developing La Niña introduces some cooling potential. WMO forecasts for 2026–2030 further align with continued anomalies in this range, though monthly variability and model spread in near-term predictions leave room for shifts before June data finalize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJune 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.15–1.19ºC 66%
1.10–1.14ºC 22%
1.20–1.24ºC 10%
1.25–1.29ºC 2.8%
$13,978 Vol.
$13,978 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<1.10ºC
2%
1.10–1.14ºC
22%
1.15–1.19ºC
66%
1.20–1.24ºC
10%
1.25–1.29ºC
3%
>1.29ºC
2%
1.15–1.19ºC 66%
1.10–1.14ºC 22%
1.20–1.24ºC 10%
1.25–1.29ºC 2.8%
$13,978 Vol.
$13,978 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<1.10ºC
$511 Vol.
2%
1.10–1.14ºC
$5,965 Vol.
22%
1.15–1.19ºC
$466 Vol.
66%
1.20–1.24ºC
$3,675 Vol.
10%
1.25–1.29ºC
$1,749 Vol.
3%
>1.29ºC
$1,612 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent observational data from agencies including NOAA and Copernicus show May 2026 global surface temperatures ranking as the second warmest on record at roughly 1.07–1.12°C above the 20th-century average, supporting trader consensus around the 1.15–1.19°C bin for June relative to the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline. Persistent elevated sea surface temperatures, residual effects from prior El Niño conditions, and accelerating long-term anthropogenic warming trends underpin this positioning, even as a developing La Niña introduces some cooling potential. WMO forecasts for 2026–2030 further align with continued anomalies in this range, though monthly variability and model spread in near-term predictions leave room for shifts before June data finalize.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$13,978Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent observational data from agencies including NOAA and Copernicus show May 2026 global surface temperatures ranking as the second warmest on record at roughly 1.07–1.12°C above the 20th-century average, supporting trader consensus around the 1.15–1.19°C bin for June relative to the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline. Persistent elevated sea surface temperatures, residual effects from prior El Niño conditions, and accelerating long-term anthropogenic warming trends underpin this positioning, even as a developing La Niña introduces some cooling potential. WMO forecasts for 2026–2030 further align with continued anomalies in this range, though monthly variability and model spread in near-term predictions leave room for shifts before June data finalize.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$13,978Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from agencies including NOAA and Copernicus show May 2026 global surface temperatures ranking as the second warmest on record at roughly 1.07–1.12°C above the 20th-century average, supporting trader consensus around the 1.15–1.19°C bin for June relative to the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline. Persistent elevated sea surface temperatures, residual effects from prior El Niño conditions, and accelerating long-term anthropogenic warming trends underpin this positioning, even as a developing La Niña introduces some cooling potential. WMO forecasts for 2026–2030 further align with continued anomalies in this range, though monthly variability and model spread in near-term predictions leave room for shifts before June data finalize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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