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Haiti elections delayed again?

Market icon

Haiti elections delayed again?

71% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
71% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Haiti's Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) postponed voter and candidate registration on April 8, 2026—originally set to begin April 1—citing a new government decree requiring alignment with a national political pact, with no rescheduled dates announced, fueling trader consensus at 61.5% for further delays in the August 30 first-round presidential and legislative elections. Persistent gang violence controlling swaths of Port-au-Prince, despite the April 1 arrival of initial UN-backed multinational security troops, continues to undermine logistical preparations amid a decade without national votes since 2016. The transitional government's fragile stability post-February mandate expiration adds uncertainty, though CEP's prior approval of 282 parties signals some progress; traders weigh security improvements against historical postponements as key tipping factors ahead of the summer vote.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,017
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Haiti's Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) postponed voter and candidate registration on April 8, 2026—originally set to begin April 1—citing a new government decree requiring alignment with a national political pact, with no rescheduled dates announced, fueling trader consensus at 61.5% for further delays in the August 30 first-round presidential and legislative elections. Persistent gang violence controlling swaths of Port-au-Prince, despite the April 1 arrival of initial UN-backed multinational security troops, continues to undermine logistical preparations amid a decade without national votes since 2016. The transitional government's fragile stability post-February mandate expiration adds uncertainty, though CEP's prior approval of 282 parties signals some progress; traders weigh security improvements against historical postponements as key tipping factors ahead of the summer vote.

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,017
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Haiti elections delayed again?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 71% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 71¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 71% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Haiti elections delayed again?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Mar 27, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Haiti elections delayed again?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Haiti elections delayed again?" adalah 71% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 71% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Haiti elections delayed again?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.