Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026 94.7%
200–250M 2.1%
125–150M 1.4%
<100M <1%
$403,994 Vol.
$403,994 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100M
<1%
100–125M
<1%
125–150M
1%
150–175M
<1%
175–200M
<1%
200–250M
2%
250M+
<1%
Tidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026
87%
Tidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026 94.7%
200–250M 2.1%
125–150M 1.4%
<100M <1%
$403,994 Vol.
$403,994 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100M
$33,240 Vol.
<1%
100–125M
$62,203 Vol.
<1%
125–150M
$26,692 Vol.
1%
150–175M
$59,896 Vol.
<1%
175–200M
$58,153 Vol.
<1%
200–250M
$21,122 Vol.
2%
250M+
$126,215 Vol.
<1%
Tidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026
$16,474 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$403,994Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$403,994Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.7% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of an S-1 filing or official announcement amid a quiet period since the company's February 2026 $5 billion funding round at a $134 billion private valuation. This capital infusion, coupled with $1.8 billion in January debt financing, bolsters the data analytics and AI platform's runway for growth in lakehouse architecture and AI workloads—reportedly exceeding $4 billion ARR with 65% YoY expansion—reducing near-term public market pressure. Speculation points to a potential H2 2026 listing above $80 billion, but volatile tech valuations and regulatory scrutiny on AI firms temper expectations; watch for Q2 earnings or market stabilization as key catalysts that could shift odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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