Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to "No" for former FBI Director James Comey posting another video message on his Substack by midnight Friday, May 1, 2026, as the resolution deadline has passed without any new qualifying post. This follows his April 28 video titled "Seashells," where Comey addressed a second DOJ indictment alleging his Instagram photo of seashells arranged as "8647" violated terms of prior legal restrictions amid ongoing Trump administration scrutiny. Comey's posting remains sporadic and event-driven, with no fresh legal or public catalysts emerging in the interim to prompt another video. While near-certain, resolution could face challenge if a pre-deadline video surfaces or disputes arise over content classification, though none have.