Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz and related supply constraints, remain the dominant driver keeping WTI crude oil futures near $91 per barrel as of June 8, 2026. These factors have produced large inventory draws and elevated risk premiums, supporting the market-implied 70% probability of a June settlement above $84. Trader consensus reflects recent price resilience despite some de-escalation signals, with the $77–$84 range priced at 16.5% amid ongoing volatility. Key near-term catalysts include any resumption of full shipping flows or production restarts, which could pressure prices lower, while persistent supply tightness would reinforce the upper range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 70%
$77-$84 17%
$70-$77 6.0%
$63-$70 2.1%
$220,471 Vol.
$220,471 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
2%
$70-$77
6%
$77-$84
17%
>$84
70%
>$84 70%
$77-$84 17%
$70-$77 6.0%
$63-$70 2.1%
$220,471 Vol.
$220,471 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
2%
$70-$77
6%
$77-$84
17%
>$84
70%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz and related supply constraints, remain the dominant driver keeping WTI crude oil futures near $91 per barrel as of June 8, 2026. These factors have produced large inventory draws and elevated risk premiums, supporting the market-implied 70% probability of a June settlement above $84. Trader consensus reflects recent price resilience despite some de-escalation signals, with the $77–$84 range priced at 16.5% amid ongoing volatility. Key near-term catalysts include any resumption of full shipping flows or production restarts, which could pressure prices lower, while persistent supply tightness would reinforce the upper range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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