Polymarket traders price a closely contested race for Silver (SI) June settlement, with $60-$70 at 17.4% implied probability edging $80-$90 (16%) and $70-$80 (15.5%), reflecting uncertainty around current ~$81 futures amid recent volatility from January's $121 peak. The April 15 World Silver Survey 2026 drives sentiment, confirming a sixth straight annual deficit of 67 million ounces despite solar "thrifting," bolstered by surging retail investment and EV/AI demand absorbing industrial slips. COMEX inventories have plunged 200 million ounces since mid-2025, signaling supply tightness, while persistent inflation and Fed rate cut expectations support upside. Key swing factors include May industrial production data and USD movements, with trader capital split on near-term pullback risks versus structural bullish drivers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiApa yang akan diselesaikan Silver (SI) pada bulan Juni?
Apa yang akan diselesaikan Silver (SI) pada bulan Juni?
$60-$70 17.3%
$80-$90 16%
$70-$80 15.5%
>$115 12%
$477,532 Vol.
$477,532 Vol.
< $50
6%
$50-$60
9%
$60-$70
17%
$70-$80
16%
$80-$90
16%
$90-$100
12%
$100-$115
11%
>$115
12%
$60-$70 17.3%
$80-$90 16%
$70-$80 15.5%
>$115 12%
$477,532 Vol.
$477,532 Vol.
< $50
6%
$50-$60
9%
$60-$70
17%
$70-$80
16%
$80-$90
16%
$90-$100
12%
$100-$115
11%
>$115
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a closely contested race for Silver (SI) June settlement, with $60-$70 at 17.4% implied probability edging $80-$90 (16%) and $70-$80 (15.5%), reflecting uncertainty around current ~$81 futures amid recent volatility from January's $121 peak. The April 15 World Silver Survey 2026 drives sentiment, confirming a sixth straight annual deficit of 67 million ounces despite solar "thrifting," bolstered by surging retail investment and EV/AI demand absorbing industrial slips. COMEX inventories have plunged 200 million ounces since mid-2025, signaling supply tightness, while persistent inflation and Fed rate cut expectations support upside. Key swing factors include May industrial production data and USD movements, with trader capital split on near-term pullback risks versus structural bullish drivers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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