Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement most likely in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 31% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 26%, reflecting a tight contest amid recent spot gold pullback from $4,750 peaks to around $4,700 on dollar strength and rising oil prices tied to fading Middle East peace hopes. Resilient central bank buying and ongoing geopolitical tensions provide downside support, countering monetary policy uncertainty as markets await this week's April 2026 CPI release—cooler-than-expected inflation could lift rate cut odds and favor upper bins, while hotter data risks deeper correction toward lower ranges. Key swing factors include Fed communications and Treasury yield moves, with historical base rates suggesting volatility near resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiApa yang akan diselesaikan Gold (GC) pada bulan Juni?
Apa yang akan diselesaikan Gold (GC) pada bulan Juni?
$4.600-$5.000 31%
$4.200-$4.600 25.8%
$5.000-$5.400 18.2%
$3,800-$4,200 9.0%
$939,654 Vol.
$939,654 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
9%
$4.200-$4.600
26%
$4.600-$5.000
31%
$5.000-$5.400
18%
$5.400-$5.800
9%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
$4.600-$5.000 31%
$4.200-$4.600 25.8%
$5.000-$5.400 18.2%
$3,800-$4,200 9.0%
$939,654 Vol.
$939,654 Vol.
<$3.800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
9%
$4.200-$4.600
26%
$4.600-$5.000
31%
$5.000-$5.400
18%
$5.400-$5.800
9%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement most likely in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 31% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 26%, reflecting a tight contest amid recent spot gold pullback from $4,750 peaks to around $4,700 on dollar strength and rising oil prices tied to fading Middle East peace hopes. Resilient central bank buying and ongoing geopolitical tensions provide downside support, countering monetary policy uncertainty as markets await this week's April 2026 CPI release—cooler-than-expected inflation could lift rate cut odds and favor upper bins, while hotter data risks deeper correction toward lower ranges. Key swing factors include Fed communications and Treasury yield moves, with historical base rates suggesting volatility near resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan