Chud the Builder, the controversial IRL livestreamer Dalton Eatherly, faces serious felony charges including attempted murder from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Tennessee, yet traders price "No" conviction at 60.5% primarily due to the tight July 2027 resolution window. The case sits in grand jury review with no trial date scheduled, while Eatherly remains on $1 million bond under house arrest, GPS monitoring, and a gun ban since his August release. Pre-trial delays for violent felonies, combined with potential plea outcomes or dismissals that resolve the market to "No," sustain the edge against conviction by the deadline despite the public evidence and ongoing proceedings. Key catalysts ahead include any grand jury action or scheduling updates that could shift momentum.