US-Iran negotiations mediated in Islamabad have propelled trader consensus to a 75% implied probability of a nuclear deal before 2027, reflecting momentum from recent diplomatic rounds despite persistent rifts. Limited progress emerged last week on an interim pact suspending Iran's uranium enrichment—potentially for 20 years—for sanctions relief, as a fragile ceasefire holds following escalated military tensions and US threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade. President Trump's blend of ultimatums demanding facility dismantlement and enriched uranium handover with optimistic signals for a permanent agreement, alongside Iran's opening of the strait to shipping, underscores de-escalation incentives amid oil volatility. A second round of talks looms, with economic pressures favoring compromise, though Iranian rejections of full capitulation highlight remaining hurdles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$708,806 वॉल्यूम
$708,806 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$708,806 वॉल्यूम
$708,806 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Iran negotiations mediated in Islamabad have propelled trader consensus to a 75% implied probability of a nuclear deal before 2027, reflecting momentum from recent diplomatic rounds despite persistent rifts. Limited progress emerged last week on an interim pact suspending Iran's uranium enrichment—potentially for 20 years—for sanctions relief, as a fragile ceasefire holds following escalated military tensions and US threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade. President Trump's blend of ultimatums demanding facility dismantlement and enriched uranium handover with optimistic signals for a permanent agreement, alongside Iran's opening of the strait to shipping, underscores de-escalation incentives amid oil volatility. A second round of talks looms, with economic pressures favoring compromise, though Iranian rejections of full capitulation highlight remaining hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$708,806समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Iran negotiations mediated in Islamabad have propelled trader consensus to a 75% implied probability of a nuclear deal before 2027, reflecting momentum from recent diplomatic rounds despite persistent rifts. Limited progress emerged last week on an interim pact suspending Iran's uranium enrichment—potentially for 20 years—for sanctions relief, as a fragile ceasefire holds following escalated military tensions and US threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade. President Trump's blend of ultimatums demanding facility dismantlement and enriched uranium handover with optimistic signals for a permanent agreement, alongside Iran's opening of the strait to shipping, underscores de-escalation incentives amid oil volatility. A second round of talks looms, with economic pressures favoring compromise, though Iranian rejections of full capitulation highlight remaining hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$708,806समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations mediated in Islamabad have propelled trader consensus to a 75% implied probability of a nuclear deal before 2027, reflecting momentum from recent diplomatic rounds despite persistent rifts. Limited progress emerged last week on an interim pact suspending Iran's uranium enrichment—potentially for 20 years—for sanctions relief, as a fragile ceasefire holds following escalated military tensions and US threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade. President Trump's blend of ultimatums demanding facility dismantlement and enriched uranium handover with optimistic signals for a permanent agreement, alongside Iran's opening of the strait to shipping, underscores de-escalation incentives amid oil volatility. A second round of talks looms, with economic pressures favoring compromise, though Iranian rejections of full capitulation highlight remaining hurdles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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