In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District on May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 78.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson (16%), driven by Allred's 11-point first-round lead on March 3—44% to Johnson's 33%—in a crowded field where Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez trailed far behind. Allred's statewide name recognition from his 2024 Senate campaign, fundraising superiority, and endorsements like Texas AFL-CIO have solidified his edge, with recent polls as of May 12 confirming the gap despite mutual attack ads aired last week. Low-turnout runoff dynamics and early voting starting May 16 could amplify motivated voter blocs in this D+18 Dallas-area seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकॉलिन एलरेड 78%
जूली जॉनसन 16%
कार्लोस क्विंटानिल्ला <1%
ज़ीशान हफीज़ <1%
$75,509 वॉल्यूम
$75,509 वॉल्यूम
कॉलिन एलरेड
78%
जूली जॉनसन
16%
कार्लोस क्विंटानिल्ला
<1%
ज़ीशान हफीज़
<1%
कॉलिन एलरेड 78%
जूली जॉनसन 16%
कार्लोस क्विंटानिल्ला <1%
ज़ीशान हफीज़ <1%
$75,509 वॉल्यूम
$75,509 वॉल्यूम
कॉलिन एलरेड
78%
जूली जॉनसन
16%
कार्लोस क्विंटानिल्ला
<1%
ज़ीशान हफीज़
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District on May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred at 78.5% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson (16%), driven by Allred's 11-point first-round lead on March 3—44% to Johnson's 33%—in a crowded field where Carlos Quintanilla (14%) and Zeeshan Hafeez trailed far behind. Allred's statewide name recognition from his 2024 Senate campaign, fundraising superiority, and endorsements like Texas AFL-CIO have solidified his edge, with recent polls as of May 12 confirming the gap despite mutual attack ads aired last week. Low-turnout runoff dynamics and early voting starting May 16 could amplify motivated voter blocs in this D+18 Dallas-area seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न