Recent polling released August 15 showing Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills 44-27 percent among likely Republican primary voters—with 19 percent undecided—has driven trader consensus toward Elijah at 66.5 percent for the August 18 contest in Florida’s 7th Congressional District. Elijah, a former local news anchor, has benefited from stronger recent fundraising and media visibility compared with Mills, whose campaign spending has lagged. The low single-digit implied probabilities for Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich align with limited polling support and name recognition. With the primary two days away and a sizable undecided share, outcomes remain sensitive to final turnout among Republican primary voters in the district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारयान एलिजा 67%
कोरी मिल्स 26%
माइक जॉनसन <1%
सारा उलरिच <1%
$35,202 वॉल्यूम
$35,202 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
रयान एलिजा
67%
कोरी मिल्स
26%
माइक जॉनसन
<1%
सारा उलरिच
<1%
रयान एलिजा 67%
कोरी मिल्स 26%
माइक जॉनसन <1%
सारा उलरिच <1%
$35,202 वॉल्यूम
$35,202 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
रयान एलिजा
$9,041 वॉल्यूम
67%
कोरी मिल्स
$22,852 वॉल्यूम
26%
माइक जॉनसन
$1,372 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सारा उलरिच
$1,936 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent polling released August 15 showing Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills 44-27 percent among likely Republican primary voters—with 19 percent undecided—has driven trader consensus toward Elijah at 66.5 percent for the August 18 contest in Florida’s 7th Congressional District. Elijah, a former local news anchor, has benefited from stronger recent fundraising and media visibility compared with Mills, whose campaign spending has lagged. The low single-digit implied probabilities for Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich align with limited polling support and name recognition. With the primary two days away and a sizable undecided share, outcomes remain sensitive to final turnout among Republican primary voters in the district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,202समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent polling released August 15 showing Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills 44-27 percent among likely Republican primary voters—with 19 percent undecided—has driven trader consensus toward Elijah at 66.5 percent for the August 18 contest in Florida’s 7th Congressional District. Elijah, a former local news anchor, has benefited from stronger recent fundraising and media visibility compared with Mills, whose campaign spending has lagged. The low single-digit implied probabilities for Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich align with limited polling support and name recognition. With the primary two days away and a sizable undecided share, outcomes remain sensitive to final turnout among Republican primary voters in the district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$35,202समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling released August 15 showing Ryan Elijah leading incumbent Cory Mills 44-27 percent among likely Republican primary voters—with 19 percent undecided—has driven trader consensus toward Elijah at 66.5 percent for the August 18 contest in Florida’s 7th Congressional District. Elijah, a former local news anchor, has benefited from stronger recent fundraising and media visibility compared with Mills, whose campaign spending has lagged. The low single-digit implied probabilities for Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich align with limited polling support and name recognition. With the primary two days away and a sizable undecided share, outcomes remain sensitive to final turnout among Republican primary voters in the district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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