Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 62.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 2026 general election under first-past-the-post rules, aligning with projection models like 338Canada's 98% plurality odds and 58% majority probability for PQ despite trailing slightly in popular vote averages (PQ 28%, PLQ 35%). PQ's efficient regional strength among francophones in Quebec City and outer regions positions it for a seat plurality, while the PLQ dominates Montreal and anglophone voters but lacks broader appeal; the incumbent CAQ languishes at 8.5% amid Premier François Legault's persistently low approval ratings below 30%. A Liaison Strategies poll from April 26-27 (released May 5) shows PQ and PLQ tied at 32% with CAQ rising to 16%, PCQ at 11%, and QS at 7%, underscoring vote fragmentation that bolsters PQ's projected path to victory amid ongoing polling volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
क्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
पीक्यू 63%
पीएलक्यू 30%
सीएक्यू 9%
PCQ <1%
$485,124 वॉल्यूम
$485,124 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
63%
पीएलक्यू
30%
सीएक्यू
9%
PCQ
<1%
पीवीक्यू
<1%
क्यूएस
<1%
पीक्यू 63%
पीएलक्यू 30%
सीएक्यू 9%
PCQ <1%
$485,124 वॉल्यूम
$485,124 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
$50,739 वॉल्यूम
63%
पीएलक्यू
$55,651 वॉल्यूम
30%
सीएक्यू
$55,520 वॉल्यूम
9%
PCQ
$155,455 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पीवीक्यू
$113,039 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्यूएस
$54,720 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 62.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 2026 general election under first-past-the-post rules, aligning with projection models like 338Canada's 98% plurality odds and 58% majority probability for PQ despite trailing slightly in popular vote averages (PQ 28%, PLQ 35%). PQ's efficient regional strength among francophones in Quebec City and outer regions positions it for a seat plurality, while the PLQ dominates Montreal and anglophone voters but lacks broader appeal; the incumbent CAQ languishes at 8.5% amid Premier François Legault's persistently low approval ratings below 30%. A Liaison Strategies poll from April 26-27 (released May 5) shows PQ and PLQ tied at 32% with CAQ rising to 16%, PCQ at 11%, and QS at 7%, underscoring vote fragmentation that bolsters PQ's projected path to victory amid ongoing polling volatility.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$485,124समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 62.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 2026 general election under first-past-the-post rules, aligning with projection models like 338Canada's 98% plurality odds and 58% majority probability for PQ despite trailing slightly in popular vote averages (PQ 28%, PLQ 35%). PQ's efficient regional strength among francophones in Quebec City and outer regions positions it for a seat plurality, while the PLQ dominates Montreal and anglophone voters but lacks broader appeal; the incumbent CAQ languishes at 8.5% amid Premier François Legault's persistently low approval ratings below 30%. A Liaison Strategies poll from April 26-27 (released May 5) shows PQ and PLQ tied at 32% with CAQ rising to 16%, PCQ at 11%, and QS at 7%, underscoring vote fragmentation that bolsters PQ's projected path to victory amid ongoing polling volatility.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$485,124समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 62.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 2026 general election under first-past-the-post rules, aligning with projection models like 338Canada's 98% plurality odds and 58% majority probability for PQ despite trailing slightly in popular vote averages (PQ 28%, PLQ 35%). PQ's efficient regional strength among francophones in Quebec City and outer regions positions it for a seat plurality, while the PLQ dominates Montreal and anglophone voters but lacks broader appeal; the incumbent CAQ languishes at 8.5% amid Premier François Legault's persistently low approval ratings below 30%. A Liaison Strategies poll from April 26-27 (released May 5) shows PQ and PLQ tied at 32% with CAQ rising to 16%, PCQ at 11%, and QS at 7%, underscoring vote fragmentation that bolsters PQ's projected path to victory amid ongoing polling volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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