Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 64% to win the 2026 Quebec general election and form government in the National Assembly, reflecting recent seat projections despite vote intentions showing PQ and Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) tied around 32% in the latest Liaison poll from May 5. This edge stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in first-past-the-post ridings, as modeled in Léger and other aggregates projecting PQ majorities of 68-76 seats. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid post-Legault resignation turmoil, with new leader Premier Christine Fréchette unable to reverse declines to 14-16% support following her April victory. PLQ's surge under Charles Milliard has narrowed the popular vote gap since February, but traders see PQ's Paul St-Pierre Plamondon better positioned for a plurality. The fixed-date election looms by October 5, with no snap call signaled.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
क्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
पीक्यू 64%
पीएलक्यू 28%
सीएक्यू 9%
PCQ <1%
$484,151 वॉल्यूम
$484,151 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
64%
पीएलक्यू
28%
सीएक्यू
9%
PCQ
<1%
पीवीक्यू
<1%
क्यूएस
<1%
पीक्यू 64%
पीएलक्यू 28%
सीएक्यू 9%
PCQ <1%
$484,151 वॉल्यूम
$484,151 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
$50,489 वॉल्यूम
64%
पीएलक्यू
$55,368 वॉल्यूम
28%
सीएक्यू
$55,380 वॉल्यूम
9%
PCQ
$155,349 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पीवीक्यू
$112,953 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्यूएस
$54,613 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 64% to win the 2026 Quebec general election and form government in the National Assembly, reflecting recent seat projections despite vote intentions showing PQ and Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) tied around 32% in the latest Liaison poll from May 5. This edge stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in first-past-the-post ridings, as modeled in Léger and other aggregates projecting PQ majorities of 68-76 seats. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid post-Legault resignation turmoil, with new leader Premier Christine Fréchette unable to reverse declines to 14-16% support following her April victory. PLQ's surge under Charles Milliard has narrowed the popular vote gap since February, but traders see PQ's Paul St-Pierre Plamondon better positioned for a plurality. The fixed-date election looms by October 5, with no snap call signaled.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$484,151समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 64% to win the 2026 Quebec general election and form government in the National Assembly, reflecting recent seat projections despite vote intentions showing PQ and Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) tied around 32% in the latest Liaison poll from May 5. This edge stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in first-past-the-post ridings, as modeled in Léger and other aggregates projecting PQ majorities of 68-76 seats. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid post-Legault resignation turmoil, with new leader Premier Christine Fréchette unable to reverse declines to 14-16% support following her April victory. PLQ's surge under Charles Milliard has narrowed the popular vote gap since February, but traders see PQ's Paul St-Pierre Plamondon better positioned for a plurality. The fixed-date election looms by October 5, with no snap call signaled.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$484,151समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 64% to win the 2026 Quebec general election and form government in the National Assembly, reflecting recent seat projections despite vote intentions showing PQ and Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) tied around 32% in the latest Liaison poll from May 5. This edge stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in first-past-the-post ridings, as modeled in Léger and other aggregates projecting PQ majorities of 68-76 seats. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) languishes at 8.5% amid post-Legault resignation turmoil, with new leader Premier Christine Fréchette unable to reverse declines to 14-16% support following her April victory. PLQ's surge under Charles Milliard has narrowed the popular vote gap since February, but traders see PQ's Paul St-Pierre Plamondon better positioned for a plurality. The fixed-date election looms by October 5, with no snap call signaled.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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