Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin state election shows CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered tightly in the mid-teens to low-20s, creating a competitive contest for third place. July surveys from Civey, INSA, and Infratest dimap placed these parties within a few points of one another behind frontrunners Linke and CDU, with AfD occasionally reaching record highs near 19 percent. This narrow spread among multiple mid-tier parties sustains the even market pricing. Any shift in voter turnout, late campaign developments, or coalition signaling before election day could separate the contenders and alter the implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCDU 31%
AfD 31%
ग्रिने 29%
लिंक 8%
$21,518 वॉल्यूम
$21,518 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
CDU
31%
AfD
31%
ग्रिने
29%
लिंक
8%
एसपीडी
6%
एफडीपी
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 31%
AfD 31%
ग्रिने 29%
लिंक 8%
$21,518 वॉल्यूम
$21,518 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
CDU
$5,196 वॉल्यूम
31%
AfD
$5,074 वॉल्यूम
31%
ग्रिने
$3,453 वॉल्यूम
29%
लिंक
$4,520 वॉल्यूम
8%
एसपीडी
$1,268 वॉल्यूम
6%
एफडीपी
$674 वॉल्यूम
<1%
FW
$582 वॉल्यूम
<1%
BSW
$750 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin state election shows CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered tightly in the mid-teens to low-20s, creating a competitive contest for third place. July surveys from Civey, INSA, and Infratest dimap placed these parties within a few points of one another behind frontrunners Linke and CDU, with AfD occasionally reaching record highs near 19 percent. This narrow spread among multiple mid-tier parties sustains the even market pricing. Any shift in voter turnout, late campaign developments, or coalition signaling before election day could separate the contenders and alter the implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,518समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin state election shows CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered tightly in the mid-teens to low-20s, creating a competitive contest for third place. July surveys from Civey, INSA, and Infratest dimap placed these parties within a few points of one another behind frontrunners Linke and CDU, with AfD occasionally reaching record highs near 19 percent. This narrow spread among multiple mid-tier parties sustains the even market pricing. Any shift in voter turnout, late campaign developments, or coalition signaling before election day could separate the contenders and alter the implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
वॉल्यूम
$21,518समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin state election shows CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered tightly in the mid-teens to low-20s, creating a competitive contest for third place. July surveys from Civey, INSA, and Infratest dimap placed these parties within a few points of one another behind frontrunners Linke and CDU, with AfD occasionally reaching record highs near 19 percent. This narrow spread among multiple mid-tier parties sustains the even market pricing. Any shift in voter turnout, late campaign developments, or coalition signaling before election day could separate the contenders and alter the implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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