Polls consistently show the CDU leading the race for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, driving trader consensus to price it at 57.5% probability of securing the most seats under proportional representation. The latest INSA survey (April 7-14) places CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Die Linke at 15%, with FDP at 3% and BSW at 4%, projecting CDU 32 seats versus 26 each for AfD and SPD. This narrow but stable edge over the past 30 days, amid a fragmented field where the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition falls short of a majority at 44.6%, bolsters CDU's frontrunner status despite coalition negotiations looming post-election. No major shifts in the last week reinforce the status quo.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाबर्लिन राज्य चुनाव विजेता
बर्लिन राज्य चुनाव विजेता
CDU 57%
ग्रुने 15.3%
लिंके 12%
AfD 9.2%
$2,572,647 वॉल्यूम
$2,572,647 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
CDU
57%
ग्रुने
15%
लिंके
12%
AfD
9%
SPD
8%
बीएसडब्ल्यू
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU 57%
ग्रुने 15.3%
लिंके 12%
AfD 9.2%
$2,572,647 वॉल्यूम
$2,572,647 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
CDU
$15,179 वॉल्यूम
57%
ग्रुने
$27,835 वॉल्यूम
15%
लिंके
$11,555 वॉल्यूम
12%
AfD
$2,187,196 वॉल्यूम
9%
SPD
$287,320 वॉल्यूम
8%
बीएसडब्ल्यू
$26,261 वॉल्यूम
1%
FDP
$10,274 वॉल्यूम
<1%
FW
$7,026 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Polls consistently show the CDU leading the race for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, driving trader consensus to price it at 57.5% probability of securing the most seats under proportional representation. The latest INSA survey (April 7-14) places CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Die Linke at 15%, with FDP at 3% and BSW at 4%, projecting CDU 32 seats versus 26 each for AfD and SPD. This narrow but stable edge over the past 30 days, amid a fragmented field where the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition falls short of a majority at 44.6%, bolsters CDU's frontrunner status despite coalition negotiations looming post-election. No major shifts in the last week reinforce the status quo.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,572,647समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Polls consistently show the CDU leading the race for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, driving trader consensus to price it at 57.5% probability of securing the most seats under proportional representation. The latest INSA survey (April 7-14) places CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Die Linke at 15%, with FDP at 3% and BSW at 4%, projecting CDU 32 seats versus 26 each for AfD and SPD. This narrow but stable edge over the past 30 days, amid a fragmented field where the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition falls short of a majority at 44.6%, bolsters CDU's frontrunner status despite coalition negotiations looming post-election. No major shifts in the last week reinforce the status quo.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
वॉल्यूम
$2,572,647समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polls consistently show the CDU leading the race for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, driving trader consensus to price it at 57.5% probability of securing the most seats under proportional representation. The latest INSA survey (April 7-14) places CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Die Linke at 15%, with FDP at 3% and BSW at 4%, projecting CDU 32 seats versus 26 each for AfD and SPD. This narrow but stable edge over the past 30 days, amid a fragmented field where the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition falls short of a majority at 44.6%, bolsters CDU's frontrunner status despite coalition negotiations looming post-election. No major shifts in the last week reinforce the status quo.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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