Incumbent Rep. Tim Kennedy (D) dominates trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic Party win in NY-26's November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+11 Cook partisan voting index, his decisive 2024 victories (68.5% in the special, 65.1% in the general), and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Kennedy holds over $1 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican primary candidate Dennis Hannon's reported zero. With no serious Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 23 primaries, the market reflects low upset risk. Potential shifts could arise from a Kennedy scandal, post-primary GOP recruitment of a funded contender, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NY -26 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$18,951 वॉल्यूम
$18,951 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
92%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
8%
$18,951 वॉल्यूम
$18,951 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$11,300 वॉल्यूम
92%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$7,651 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Tim Kennedy (D) dominates trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic Party win in NY-26's November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+11 Cook partisan voting index, his decisive 2024 victories (68.5% in the special, 65.1% in the general), and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Kennedy holds over $1 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican primary candidate Dennis Hannon's reported zero. With no serious Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 23 primaries, the market reflects low upset risk. Potential shifts could arise from a Kennedy scandal, post-primary GOP recruitment of a funded contender, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,951समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Tim Kennedy (D) dominates trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic Party win in NY-26's November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+11 Cook partisan voting index, his decisive 2024 victories (68.5% in the special, 65.1% in the general), and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Kennedy holds over $1 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican primary candidate Dennis Hannon's reported zero. With no serious Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 23 primaries, the market reflects low upset risk. Potential shifts could arise from a Kennedy scandal, post-primary GOP recruitment of a funded contender, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$18,951समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Tim Kennedy (D) dominates trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic Party win in NY-26's November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+11 Cook partisan voting index, his decisive 2024 victories (68.5% in the special, 65.1% in the general), and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Kennedy holds over $1 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican primary candidate Dennis Hannon's reported zero. With no serious Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 23 primaries, the market reflects low upset risk. Potential shifts could arise from a Kennedy scandal, post-primary GOP recruitment of a funded contender, or a national Republican midterm wave.
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