Trump’s continued tenure through 2026 reflects the steep constitutional barriers to removal, with recent House Democratic resolutions on Iran-related statements and other matters tabled without advancing to a floor vote. Senate conviction would require a two-thirds majority that current partisan alignment does not support, while cabinet action under the 25th Amendment or voluntary resignation shows no institutional momentum. Traders price continuity at 90% amid ongoing executive actions, legislative priorities such as immigration enforcement, and absence of sudden health or scandal-driven shifts. Midterm outcomes in November could alter House dynamics, yet near-term procedural and vote thresholds keep early departure probabilities low.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$9,013,573 वॉल्यूम
$9,013,573 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$9,013,573 वॉल्यूम
$9,013,573 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s continued tenure through 2026 reflects the steep constitutional barriers to removal, with recent House Democratic resolutions on Iran-related statements and other matters tabled without advancing to a floor vote. Senate conviction would require a two-thirds majority that current partisan alignment does not support, while cabinet action under the 25th Amendment or voluntary resignation shows no institutional momentum. Traders price continuity at 90% amid ongoing executive actions, legislative priorities such as immigration enforcement, and absence of sudden health or scandal-driven shifts. Midterm outcomes in November could alter House dynamics, yet near-term procedural and vote thresholds keep early departure probabilities low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,013,573समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s continued tenure through 2026 reflects the steep constitutional barriers to removal, with recent House Democratic resolutions on Iran-related statements and other matters tabled without advancing to a floor vote. Senate conviction would require a two-thirds majority that current partisan alignment does not support, while cabinet action under the 25th Amendment or voluntary resignation shows no institutional momentum. Traders price continuity at 90% amid ongoing executive actions, legislative priorities such as immigration enforcement, and absence of sudden health or scandal-driven shifts. Midterm outcomes in November could alter House dynamics, yet near-term procedural and vote thresholds keep early departure probabilities low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$9,013,573समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s continued tenure through 2026 reflects the steep constitutional barriers to removal, with recent House Democratic resolutions on Iran-related statements and other matters tabled without advancing to a floor vote. Senate conviction would require a two-thirds majority that current partisan alignment does not support, while cabinet action under the 25th Amendment or voluntary resignation shows no institutional momentum. Traders price continuity at 90% amid ongoing executive actions, legislative priorities such as immigration enforcement, and absence of sudden health or scandal-driven shifts. Midterm outcomes in November could alter House dynamics, yet near-term procedural and vote thresholds keep early departure probabilities low.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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