New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voting Index of D+7, reflecting consistent voter preference in Albuquerque and surrounding areas that has produced double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury secured renomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating services classify the contest as Solid Democratic based on fundraising patterns, past turnout data, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter registration. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national electoral wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected local development could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district's baseline metrics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNM -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NM -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$33,654 वॉल्यूम
$33,654 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$33,654 वॉल्यूम
$33,654 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$17,752 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$15,902 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voting Index of D+7, reflecting consistent voter preference in Albuquerque and surrounding areas that has produced double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury secured renomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating services classify the contest as Solid Democratic based on fundraising patterns, past turnout data, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter registration. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national electoral wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected local development could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district's baseline metrics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,654समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voting Index of D+7, reflecting consistent voter preference in Albuquerque and surrounding areas that has produced double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury secured renomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating services classify the contest as Solid Democratic based on fundraising patterns, past turnout data, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter registration. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national electoral wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected local development could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district's baseline metrics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$33,654समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voting Index of D+7, reflecting consistent voter preference in Albuquerque and surrounding areas that has produced double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury secured renomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating services classify the contest as Solid Democratic based on fundraising patterns, past turnout data, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter registration. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. A significant national electoral wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected local development could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district's baseline metrics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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