Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $850,000 cash on hand—bolsters trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87.5% to retain California's 21st Congressional District in the November 3 general election. The Central Valley seat, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris prevailing 52-46 in recent presidential results, shifted slightly leftward after March 2026 redistricting under Proposition 50. Facing split Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios in the June 2 top-two primary, Costa's moderation on agriculture and water issues appeals to the district's 41% Democratic to 27% Republican voter registration advantage, echoing his 53-47% 2024 reelection margin. No recent polling or scandals alter this structural edge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-21 House Election Winner
CA-21 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
12%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$897 वॉल्यूम
88%
Republican Party
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $850,000 cash on hand—bolsters trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87.5% to retain California's 21st Congressional District in the November 3 general election. The Central Valley seat, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris prevailing 52-46 in recent presidential results, shifted slightly leftward after March 2026 redistricting under Proposition 50. Facing split Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios in the June 2 top-two primary, Costa's moderation on agriculture and water issues appeals to the district's 41% Democratic to 27% Republican voter registration advantage, echoing his 53-47% 2024 reelection margin. No recent polling or scandals alter this structural edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$897समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $850,000 cash on hand—bolsters trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87.5% to retain California's 21st Congressional District in the November 3 general election. The Central Valley seat, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris prevailing 52-46 in recent presidential results, shifted slightly leftward after March 2026 redistricting under Proposition 50. Facing split Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios in the June 2 top-two primary, Costa's moderation on agriculture and water issues appeals to the district's 41% Democratic to 27% Republican voter registration advantage, echoing his 53-47% 2024 reelection margin. No recent polling or scandals alter this structural edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$897समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $850,000 cash on hand—bolsters trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87.5% to retain California's 21st Congressional District in the November 3 general election. The Central Valley seat, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris prevailing 52-46 in recent presidential results, shifted slightly leftward after March 2026 redistricting under Proposition 50. Facing split Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios in the June 2 top-two primary, Costa's moderation on agriculture and water issues appeals to the district's 41% Democratic to 27% Republican voter registration advantage, echoing his 53-47% 2024 reelection margin. No recent polling or scandals alter this structural edge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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