Narendra Modi’s firm grip on power as India’s longest-serving continuously elected prime minister, combined with the BJP-led NDA’s recent state-level gains and absence of credible succession signals, underpins trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Having completed his third consecutive term after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s elected-tenure record in June 2026, Modi continues to direct cabinet adjustments, policy implementation, and long-term initiatives such as Viksit Bharat 2047. Recent milestones, including his 76th birthday celebrations in September 2026 and strong approval metrics, alongside debunked social-media rumors of resignation, reinforce expectations of stability. With the next national elections due only in 2029 and no constitutional or party mechanisms forcing an early exit, the 94.5% implied probability for “No” reflects the lack of near-term political catalysts capable of displacing him.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?
मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?
हाँ
6% संभावना
$252,497 वॉल्यूम
$252,497 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
6% संभावना
$252,497 वॉल्यूम
$252,497 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s firm grip on power as India’s longest-serving continuously elected prime minister, combined with the BJP-led NDA’s recent state-level gains and absence of credible succession signals, underpins trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Having completed his third consecutive term after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s elected-tenure record in June 2026, Modi continues to direct cabinet adjustments, policy implementation, and long-term initiatives such as Viksit Bharat 2047. Recent milestones, including his 76th birthday celebrations in September 2026 and strong approval metrics, alongside debunked social-media rumors of resignation, reinforce expectations of stability. With the next national elections due only in 2029 and no constitutional or party mechanisms forcing an early exit, the 94.5% implied probability for “No” reflects the lack of near-term political catalysts capable of displacing him.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$252,497समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s firm grip on power as India’s longest-serving continuously elected prime minister, combined with the BJP-led NDA’s recent state-level gains and absence of credible succession signals, underpins trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Having completed his third consecutive term after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s elected-tenure record in June 2026, Modi continues to direct cabinet adjustments, policy implementation, and long-term initiatives such as Viksit Bharat 2047. Recent milestones, including his 76th birthday celebrations in September 2026 and strong approval metrics, alongside debunked social-media rumors of resignation, reinforce expectations of stability. With the next national elections due only in 2029 and no constitutional or party mechanisms forcing an early exit, the 94.5% implied probability for “No” reflects the lack of near-term political catalysts capable of displacing him.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$252,497समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s firm grip on power as India’s longest-serving continuously elected prime minister, combined with the BJP-led NDA’s recent state-level gains and absence of credible succession signals, underpins trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Having completed his third consecutive term after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s elected-tenure record in June 2026, Modi continues to direct cabinet adjustments, policy implementation, and long-term initiatives such as Viksit Bharat 2047. Recent milestones, including his 76th birthday celebrations in September 2026 and strong approval metrics, alongside debunked social-media rumors of resignation, reinforce expectations of stability. With the next national elections due only in 2029 and no constitutional or party mechanisms forcing an early exit, the 94.5% implied probability for “No” reflects the lack of near-term political catalysts capable of displacing him.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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