A US-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and missile facilities, prompted Iranian retaliation including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and strikes on Gulf allies. After over five weeks of escalation, a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire took effect April 8, suspending major hostilities and enabling Islamabad talks on Iran's nuclear program and naval blockade lift, though Israel maintains operations in Lebanon outside its scope. President Trump warned of resumed airstrikes absent a deal by the April 22 expiration, while congressional bids to restrict further military action failed. Iran retains drone and missile stockpiles despite US claims of 90% degradation in projection power, fueling trader uncertainty over de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई समाप्त होती है...?
ईरान के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई समाप्त होती है...?
$31,804,712 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
1 अप्रैल
नहीं
2 अप्रैल
नहीं
3 अप्रैल
नहीं
4 अप्रैल
नहीं
5 अप्रैल
नहीं
6 अप्रैल
नहीं
7 अप्रैल
नहीं
8 अप्रैल
नहीं
9 अप्रैल
हाँ
10 अप्रैल
हाँ
11 अप्रैल
हाँ
12 अप्रैल
हाँ
13 अप्रैल
हाँ
14 अप्रैल
हाँ
15 अप्रैल
हाँ
16 अप्रैल
हाँ
17 अप्रैल
हाँ
18 अप्रैल
हाँ
19 अप्रैल
हाँ
20 अप्रैल
हाँ
21 अप्रैल
हाँ
22 अप्रैल
हाँ
23 अप्रैल
हाँ
24 अप्रैल
हाँ
25 अप्रैल
हाँ
26 अप्रैल
हाँ
27 अप्रैल
हाँ
28 अप्रैल
हाँ
29 अप्रैल
हाँ
30 अप्रैल
हाँ
$31,804,712 वॉल्यूम
1 अप्रैल
$10,254 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
2 अप्रैल
$11,401 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
3 अप्रैल
$8,242 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
4 अप्रैल
$5,242 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
5 अप्रैल
$3,932 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
6 अप्रैल
$13,964 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
7 अप्रैल
$3,627 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
8 अप्रैल
$13,689 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
9 अप्रैल
$237,471 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
10 अप्रैल
$16,446 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
11 अप्रैल
$32,861 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
12 अप्रैल
$81,597 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
13 अप्रैल
$93,184 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
14 अप्रैल
$127,016 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
15 अप्रैल
$101,486 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
16 अप्रैल
$116,607 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
17 अप्रैल
$28,778,655 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
18 अप्रैल
$134,016 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
19 अप्रैल
$64,443 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
20 अप्रैल
$78,125 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
21 अप्रैल
$80,720 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
22 अप्रैल
$145,549 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
23 अप्रैल
$99,012 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
24 अप्रैल
$85,329 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
25 अप्रैल
$104,695 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
26 अप्रैल
$97,519 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
27 अप्रैल
$97,649 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
28 अप्रैल
$139,058 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
29 अप्रैल
$311,523 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
30 अप्रैल
$711,400 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A US-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and missile facilities, prompted Iranian retaliation including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and strikes on Gulf allies. After over five weeks of escalation, a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire took effect April 8, suspending major hostilities and enabling Islamabad talks on Iran's nuclear program and naval blockade lift, though Israel maintains operations in Lebanon outside its scope. President Trump warned of resumed airstrikes absent a deal by the April 22 expiration, while congressional bids to restrict further military action failed. Iran retains drone and missile stockpiles despite US claims of 90% degradation in projection power, fueling trader uncertainty over de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,804,712समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A US-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and missile facilities, prompted Iranian retaliation including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and strikes on Gulf allies. After over five weeks of escalation, a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire took effect April 8, suspending major hostilities and enabling Islamabad talks on Iran's nuclear program and naval blockade lift, though Israel maintains operations in Lebanon outside its scope. President Trump warned of resumed airstrikes absent a deal by the April 22 expiration, while congressional bids to restrict further military action failed. Iran retains drone and missile stockpiles despite US claims of 90% degradation in projection power, fueling trader uncertainty over de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$31,804,712समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
A US-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and missile facilities, prompted Iranian retaliation including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and strikes on Gulf allies. After over five weeks of escalation, a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire took effect April 8, suspending major hostilities and enabling Islamabad talks on Iran's nuclear program and naval blockade lift, though Israel maintains operations in Lebanon outside its scope. President Trump warned of resumed airstrikes absent a deal by the April 22 expiration, while congressional bids to restrict further military action failed. Iran retains drone and missile stockpiles despite US claims of 90% degradation in projection power, fueling trader uncertainty over de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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