Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023 and above consensus—has tightened trader focus on the May annual inflation print, with Polymarket odds clustered tightly between 4.2% and 4.4%. Energy prices, up sharply due to geopolitical supply pressures, combined with shelter and food components, drove the April acceleration and suggest further upside momentum into May. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May CPI near 4.18%, while one-year consumer inflation expectations climbed to 3.6% in April. The June 10 release will resolve the market, where small shifts in monthly core or energy readings could swing the outcome between the leading probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.3% 38%
≥4.4% 37%
4.2% 26%
4.1% 1.7%
$124,099 वॉल्यूम
$124,099 वॉल्यूम
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
2%
4.2%
26%
4.3%
38%
≥4.4%
37%
4.3% 38%
≥4.4% 37%
4.2% 26%
4.1% 1.7%
$124,099 वॉल्यूम
$124,099 वॉल्यूम
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
2%
4.2%
26%
4.3%
38%
≥4.4%
37%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showing a 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023 and above consensus—has tightened trader focus on the May annual inflation print, with Polymarket odds clustered tightly between 4.2% and 4.4%. Energy prices, up sharply due to geopolitical supply pressures, combined with shelter and food components, drove the April acceleration and suggest further upside momentum into May. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place May CPI near 4.18%, while one-year consumer inflation expectations climbed to 3.6% in April. The June 10 release will resolve the market, where small shifts in monthly core or energy readings could swing the outcome between the leading probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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