Recent April CPI data, showing a 0.6% month-over-month rise driven by a 3.8% energy surge amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for May at 0.5%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and analyst forecasts from firms like RBC point to a similar 0.4–0.5% headline print, reflecting continued shelter and energy pass-through while core measures moderate modestly. With the May CPI release scheduled for June 10, these factors have concentrated implied probabilities on the 0.5% outcome at 58%, as markets price in persistent but contained inflationary momentum ahead of the report.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMay Inflation US - Monthly
0.5% 58%
0.4% 18.3%
0.6% 13%
0.3% 1.9%
$69,551 वॉल्यूम
$69,551 वॉल्यूम
≤0.1%
<1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
2%
0.4%
18%
0.5%
58%
0.6%
13%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
<1%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 58%
0.4% 18.3%
0.6% 13%
0.3% 1.9%
$69,551 वॉल्यूम
$69,551 वॉल्यूम
≤0.1%
<1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
2%
0.4%
18%
0.5%
58%
0.6%
13%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
<1%
≥0.9%
1%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data, showing a 0.6% month-over-month rise driven by a 3.8% energy surge amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, has anchored trader expectations for May at 0.5%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and analyst forecasts from firms like RBC point to a similar 0.4–0.5% headline print, reflecting continued shelter and energy pass-through while core measures moderate modestly. With the May CPI release scheduled for June 10, these factors have concentrated implied probabilities on the 0.5% outcome at 58%, as markets price in persistent but contained inflationary momentum ahead of the report.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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