Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18, 2026, driven by official NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) METAR reports showing a peak of 26°C around midday under hazy conditions with dust (DU) reducing solar heating potential later. Breezy southwest winds and descending evening temperatures, consistent with Israel Meteorological Service patterns for mid-April, have capped intensification, aligning with historical April highs averaging 22–24°C but this day's warmer-than-forecast start. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon measurement revision upward from finalized NOAA timeseries data, though sunset limits further peaks; watch for official daily summary post-18:00 IDT.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$58,111 वॉल्यूम
$58,111 वॉल्यूम
26°C
100%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$58,111 वॉल्यूम
$58,111 वॉल्यूम
26°C
100%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18, 2026, driven by official NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG) METAR reports showing a peak of 26°C around midday under hazy conditions with dust (DU) reducing solar heating potential later. Breezy southwest winds and descending evening temperatures, consistent with Israel Meteorological Service patterns for mid-April, have capped intensification, aligning with historical April highs averaging 22–24°C but this day's warmer-than-forecast start. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon measurement revision upward from finalized NOAA timeseries data, though sunset limits further peaks; watch for official daily summary post-18:00 IDT.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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