Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a well-funded primary challenge from Eric Jones (D) in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that slightly narrowed the district's D+17 partisan lean. Jones, a former investment executive endorsed by Our Revolution, outraised Thompson through December 2025 ($2.59 million vs. $2.04 million) with strong cash on hand, positioning him to potentially consolidate progressive support amid Democratic efforts to rebuild post-2024. Six Republicans and one independent fragment the right-side vote, making a Democratic sweep likely, though no public polling exists. Early voting begins May 4, with the top two advancing regardless of party to the November general.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$20,463 वॉल्यूम
2 जून, 2026
माइक थॉम्पसन
98%
एरिक जोन्स
95%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
15%
हीथ फुल्करसन
8%
शेरोन ब्राउन
6%
मंडी घुसार
6%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
4%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
45%
$20,463 वॉल्यूम
माइक थॉम्पसन
$6,502 वॉल्यूम
98%
एरिक जोन्स
$4,011 वॉल्यूम
95%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
$6,288 वॉल्यूम
15%
हीथ फुल्करसन
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
शेरोन ब्राउन
$1,605 वॉल्यूम
6%
मंडी घुसार
$728 वॉल्यूम
6%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
$710 वॉल्यूम
4%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
$618 वॉल्यूम
45%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a well-funded primary challenge from Eric Jones (D) in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that slightly narrowed the district's D+17 partisan lean. Jones, a former investment executive endorsed by Our Revolution, outraised Thompson through December 2025 ($2.59 million vs. $2.04 million) with strong cash on hand, positioning him to potentially consolidate progressive support amid Democratic efforts to rebuild post-2024. Six Republicans and one independent fragment the right-side vote, making a Democratic sweep likely, though no public polling exists. Early voting begins May 4, with the top two advancing regardless of party to the November general.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,463समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a well-funded primary challenge from Eric Jones (D) in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that slightly narrowed the district's D+17 partisan lean. Jones, a former investment executive endorsed by Our Revolution, outraised Thompson through December 2025 ($2.59 million vs. $2.04 million) with strong cash on hand, positioning him to potentially consolidate progressive support amid Democratic efforts to rebuild post-2024. Six Republicans and one independent fragment the right-side vote, making a Democratic sweep likely, though no public polling exists. Early voting begins May 4, with the top two advancing regardless of party to the November general.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$20,463समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a well-funded primary challenge from Eric Jones (D) in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that slightly narrowed the district's D+17 partisan lean. Jones, a former investment executive endorsed by Our Revolution, outraised Thompson through December 2025 ($2.59 million vs. $2.04 million) with strong cash on hand, positioning him to potentially consolidate progressive support amid Democratic efforts to rebuild post-2024. Six Republicans and one independent fragment the right-side vote, making a Democratic sweep likely, though no public polling exists. Early voting begins May 4, with the top two advancing regardless of party to the November general.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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