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icon for CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

icon for CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

$32,507 वॉल्यूम

2 जून, 2026
Polymarket

$32,507 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

माइक थॉम्पसन

$7,399 वॉल्यूम

95%

एरिक जोन्स

$5,732 वॉल्यूम

91%

जॉन वेस्ली टायलर

$1,046 वॉल्यूम

8%

हीथ फुल्करसन

$639 वॉल्यूम

6%

लॉरी मैकेंज़ी

$710 वॉल्यूम

5%

शेरोन ब्राउन

$3,449 वॉल्यूम

1%

ट्रेवर मेर्रेल

$10,817 वॉल्यूम

1%

मंडी घुसार

$2,715 वॉल्यूम

<1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998, seeks renomination in California's strongly Democratic 4th Congressional District through the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. The district's partisan composition and Thompson's long tenure have shaped trader expectations that he and Democratic challenger Eric Jones will advance, as multiple Republican candidates including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar trail significantly in visibility and resources. No major developments have emerged since the March 6 filing deadline to alter the candidate field or shift positioning. The primary's proximity leaves little time for late developments to change outcomes before ballots are cast.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$32,507
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Mike Thompson, first elected in 1998, seeks renomination in California's strongly Democratic 4th Congressional District through the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. The district's partisan composition and Thompson's long tenure have shaped trader expectations that he and Democratic challenger Eric Jones will advance, as multiple Republican candidates including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar trail significantly in visibility and resources. No major developments have emerged since the March 6 filing deadline to alter the candidate field or shift positioning. The primary's proximity leaves little time for late developments to change outcomes before ballots are cast.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$32,507
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" Polymarket पर 8 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, माइक थॉम्पसन 95% (95¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद एरिक जोन्स 91% पर है।

आज तक, "CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" ने कुल $32.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Feb 26, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 8 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "माइक थॉम्पसन" 95% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "एरिक जोन्स" 91% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।