Trader consensus in the CA-04 top-two primary market strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) at 97% and challenger Eric Jones (D) at 91% to advance on June 2, driven by the district's Solid Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+8) and vote-splitting among six Republican contenders amid low GOP fundraising. Ballots began mailing May 4 with early voting underway, heightening focus on turnout in this post-redistricting map. Jones leads receipts ($3.2M vs. Thompson's $2.9M per March filings) and holds Our Revolution backing, while Thompson boasts more cash on hand and California Democratic Party endorsement; absent polls, final forums could influence undecideds before polls close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$23,087 वॉल्यूम
2 जून, 2026
माइक थॉम्पसन
98%
एरिक जोन्स
91%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
12%
हीथ फुल्करसन
11%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
8%
शेरोन ब्राउन
7%
मंडी घुसार
6%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
5%
$23,087 वॉल्यूम
माइक थॉम्पसन
$7,050 वॉल्यूम
98%
एरिक जोन्स
$4,785 वॉल्यूम
91%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
$7,016 वॉल्यूम
12%
हीथ फुल्करसन
$396 वॉल्यूम
11%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
$765 वॉल्यूम
8%
शेरोन ब्राउन
$1,621 वॉल्यूम
7%
मंडी घुसार
$744 वॉल्यूम
6%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
$710 वॉल्यूम
5%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the CA-04 top-two primary market strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) at 97% and challenger Eric Jones (D) at 91% to advance on June 2, driven by the district's Solid Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+8) and vote-splitting among six Republican contenders amid low GOP fundraising. Ballots began mailing May 4 with early voting underway, heightening focus on turnout in this post-redistricting map. Jones leads receipts ($3.2M vs. Thompson's $2.9M per March filings) and holds Our Revolution backing, while Thompson boasts more cash on hand and California Democratic Party endorsement; absent polls, final forums could influence undecideds before polls close.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,087समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the CA-04 top-two primary market strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) at 97% and challenger Eric Jones (D) at 91% to advance on June 2, driven by the district's Solid Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+8) and vote-splitting among six Republican contenders amid low GOP fundraising. Ballots began mailing May 4 with early voting underway, heightening focus on turnout in this post-redistricting map. Jones leads receipts ($3.2M vs. Thompson's $2.9M per March filings) and holds Our Revolution backing, while Thompson boasts more cash on hand and California Democratic Party endorsement; absent polls, final forums could influence undecideds before polls close.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$23,087समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus in the CA-04 top-two primary market strongly favors incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) at 97% and challenger Eric Jones (D) at 91% to advance on June 2, driven by the district's Solid Democratic lean (Cook PVI D+8) and vote-splitting among six Republican contenders amid low GOP fundraising. Ballots began mailing May 4 with early voting underway, heightening focus on turnout in this post-redistricting map. Jones leads receipts ($3.2M vs. Thompson's $2.9M per March filings) and holds Our Revolution backing, while Thompson boasts more cash on hand and California Democratic Party endorsement; absent polls, final forums could influence undecideds before polls close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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