Recent polling averages show the center-right Partido Popular (PP) leading with 31-34% support ahead of the November 29 snap election, well ahead of the governing PSOE at 25-27% and Vox at 18%. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts toward the opposition following parliamentary defeats of the Sánchez government's housing decrees on October 2, which prompted the early dissolution of the Cortes on October 6. PP gains stem from consistent leads in seat projections, often exceeding 130 deputies, while PSOE faces coalition erosion and weaker turnout among its base. Vox's rise bolsters right-wing bloc totals near or above a majority threshold in most models. Traders price PP as the clear frontrunner based on these trends, with minor parties holding limited prospects of topping the results.