Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the central bank's March 17-18 unanimous 25 basis-point cut to 14.75%—initiating a cautious easing cycle after prolonged holds at 15% amid signs of inflation convergence toward the 3% target. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year on fuel pressures from the Iran conflict, the latest Focus survey projects end-2026 Selic at around 12.5% versus 4.71% IPCA, reinforcing expectations for gradual normalization amid resilient GDP growth and sub-6% unemployment. The April 28-29 Copom and impending April IPCA release loom as key catalysts that could refine this skin-in-the-game pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजून में बैंक ऑफ़ ब्राज़ील का फ़ैसला?
जून में बैंक ऑफ़ ब्राज़ील का फ़ैसला?
कमी 87%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 10%
वृद्धि 3.5%
$23,622 वॉल्यूम
$23,622 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
वृद्धि
4%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
10%
कमी
87%
कमी 87%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 10%
वृद्धि 3.5%
$23,622 वॉल्यूम
$23,622 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
वृद्धि
$12,661 वॉल्यूम
4%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$4,063 वॉल्यूम
10%
कमी
$6,919 वॉल्यूम
87%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the central bank's March 17-18 unanimous 25 basis-point cut to 14.75%—initiating a cautious easing cycle after prolonged holds at 15% amid signs of inflation convergence toward the 3% target. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year on fuel pressures from the Iran conflict, the latest Focus survey projects end-2026 Selic at around 12.5% versus 4.71% IPCA, reinforcing expectations for gradual normalization amid resilient GDP growth and sub-6% unemployment. The April 28-29 Copom and impending April IPCA release loom as key catalysts that could refine this skin-in-the-game pricing.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,622समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the central bank's March 17-18 unanimous 25 basis-point cut to 14.75%—initiating a cautious easing cycle after prolonged holds at 15% amid signs of inflation convergence toward the 3% target. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year on fuel pressures from the Iran conflict, the latest Focus survey projects end-2026 Selic at around 12.5% versus 4.71% IPCA, reinforcing expectations for gradual normalization amid resilient GDP growth and sub-6% unemployment. The April 28-29 Copom and impending April IPCA release loom as key catalysts that could refine this skin-in-the-game pricing.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$23,622समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the central bank's March 17-18 unanimous 25 basis-point cut to 14.75%—initiating a cautious easing cycle after prolonged holds at 15% amid signs of inflation convergence toward the 3% target. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year on fuel pressures from the Iran conflict, the latest Focus survey projects end-2026 Selic at around 12.5% versus 4.71% IPCA, reinforcing expectations for gradual normalization amid resilient GDP growth and sub-6% unemployment. The April 28-29 Copom and impending April IPCA release loom as key catalysts that could refine this skin-in-the-game pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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