Market icon
Économie·Banque

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

Market icon
Économie·Banque

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$225 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 1.8M

$60 Vol.

48%

↑ 1.7M

$165 Vol.

30%

↑ 1.6M

$0 Vol.

53%

↓ 1.5M

$0 Vol.

54%

↓ 1.4M

$0 Vol.

51%

↓ 1.3M

$0 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or below the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on USD/IRR rates reflects the Iranian Rial's sharp depreciation amid entrenched US sanctions curbing oil exports—Tehran's primary revenue source—and stalled nuclear talks that ended without agreement in late February. The black market rate hit a record 1,571,000 IRR per USD on March 28, fueled by Revolutionary Guard dominance over the economy, hyperinflation over 40%, and protests exposing liquidity shortages and war jitters from US-Iran tensions. Recent US sanctions on oil networks and conflicting diplomatic signals have dashed de-escalation hopes, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions threaten further pressure. With April 30 approaching, any sanctions relief, military escalation, or oil price swings could sway outcomes before resolution based on verified black market data.

Trader consensus on USD/IRR rates reflects the Iranian Rial's sharp depreciation amid entrenched US sanctions curbing oil exports—Tehran's primary revenue source—and stalled nuclear talks that ended without agreement in late February. The black market rate hit a record 1,571,000 IRR per USD on March 28, fueled by Revolutionary Guard dominance over the economy, hyperinflation over 40%, and protests exposing liquidity shortages and war jitters from US-Iran tensions. Recent US sanctions on oil networks and conflicting diplomatic signals have dashed de-escalation hopes, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions threaten further pressure. With April 30 approaching, any sanctions relief, military escalation, or oil price swings could sway outcomes before resolution based on verified black market data.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or below the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on USD/IRR rates reflects the Iranian Rial's sharp depreciation amid entrenched US sanctions curbing oil exports—Tehran's primary revenue source—and stalled nuclear talks that ended without agreement in late February. The black market rate hit a record 1,571,000 IRR per USD on March 28, fueled by Revolutionary Guard dominance over the economy, hyperinflation over 40%, and protests exposing liquidity shortages and war jitters from US-Iran tensions. Recent US sanctions on oil networks and conflicting diplomatic signals have dashed de-escalation hopes, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions threaten further pressure. With April 30 approaching, any sanctions relief, military escalation, or oil price swings could sway outcomes before resolution based on verified black market data.

Trader consensus on USD/IRR rates reflects the Iranian Rial's sharp depreciation amid entrenched US sanctions curbing oil exports—Tehran's primary revenue source—and stalled nuclear talks that ended without agreement in late February. The black market rate hit a record 1,571,000 IRR per USD on March 28, fueled by Revolutionary Guard dominance over the economy, hyperinflation over 40%, and protests exposing liquidity shortages and war jitters from US-Iran tensions. Recent US sanctions on oil networks and conflicting diplomatic signals have dashed de-escalation hopes, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions threaten further pressure. With April 30 approaching, any sanctions relief, military escalation, or oil price swings could sway outcomes before resolution based on verified black market data.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ↓ 1.5M » à 54%, suivi de « ↑ 1.6M » à 53%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 54¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 27, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30? » est « ↓ 1.5M » à 54%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ↑ 1.6M » à 53%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.