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Géopolitique·Capture De La Russie

Will Russia capture Yampil' by...?

Market icon
Géopolitique·Capture De La Russie

Will Russia capture Yampil' by...?

$312,454 Vol.

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$312,454 Vol.

Polymarket

October 31

$90,385 Vol.

No

November 30

$222,068 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png

Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png

Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png

Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Volume
$312,454
Date de fin
Nov 30, 2025
Marché ouvert
Oct 21, 2025, 11:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« Will Russia capture Yampil' by...? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « November 30 » à 100%, suivi de « October 31 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Will Russia capture Yampil' by...? » a généré $312.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Sep 30, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Will Russia capture Yampil' by...? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Will Russia capture Yampil' by...? » est « November 30 » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « October 31 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Russia capture Yampil' by...? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.