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Qui Xi Jinping purgera-t-il en 2026 ?

Market icon

Qui Xi Jinping purgera-t-il en 2026 ?

$74,585 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$74,585 Vol.

Polymarket

Dong Jun

$8,443 Vol.

16%

Cai Qi

$22,792 Vol.

9%

Ding Xuexiang

$0 Vol.

8%

Zhang Shengmin

$10,445 Vol.

8%

Li Xi

$14,809 Vol.

6%

Wang Huning

$4,323 Vol.

5%

Wang Yi

$7,814 Vol.

4%

Li Qiang

$0 Vol.

4%

Zhao Leji

$5,958 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges in 2026, primarily targeting People's Liberation Army (PLA) leadership, with over 100 senior officers removed since January, including Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairman General Zhang Youxia and chief of staff General Liu Zhenli. March developments featured additional dismissals of military lawmakers from the National People's Congress ahead of Two Sessions, alongside absences of figures like Ma Xingrui at political gatherings, underscoring efforts to enforce absolute loyalty amid concerns over command disruptions. The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) announcements remain opaque and unpredictable, with trader consensus reflecting potential spillover to civilian Politburo or finance sectors before the 2027 Party Congress.

Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges in 2026, primarily targeting People's Liberation Army (PLA) leadership, with over 100 senior officers removed since January, including Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairman General Zhang Youxia and chief of staff General Liu Zhenli. March developments featured additional dismissals of military lawmakers from the National People's Congress ahead of Two Sessions, alongside absences of figures like Ma Xingrui at political gatherings, underscoring efforts to enforce absolute loyalty amid concerns over command disruptions. The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) announcements remain opaque and unpredictable, with trader consensus reflecting potential spillover to civilian Politburo or finance sectors before the 2027 Party Congress.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges in 2026, primarily targeting People's Liberation Army (PLA) leadership, with over 100 senior officers removed since January, including Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairman General Zhang Youxia and chief of staff General Liu Zhenli. March developments featured additional dismissals of military lawmakers from the National People's Congress ahead of Two Sessions, alongside absences of figures like Ma Xingrui at political gatherings, underscoring efforts to enforce absolute loyalty amid concerns over command disruptions. The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) announcements remain opaque and unpredictable, with trader consensus reflecting potential spillover to civilian Politburo or finance sectors before the 2027 Party Congress.

Xi Jinping's ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive purges in 2026, primarily targeting People's Liberation Army (PLA) leadership, with over 100 senior officers removed since January, including Central Military Commission (CMC) vice chairman General Zhang Youxia and chief of staff General Liu Zhenli. March developments featured additional dismissals of military lawmakers from the National People's Congress ahead of Two Sessions, alongside absences of figures like Ma Xingrui at political gatherings, underscoring efforts to enforce absolute loyalty amid concerns over command disruptions. The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI) announcements remain opaque and unpredictable, with trader consensus reflecting potential spillover to civilian Politburo or finance sectors before the 2027 Party Congress.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui Xi Jinping purgera-t-il en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Dong Jun » à 17%, suivi de « Cai Qi » à 9%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 17¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 17% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui Xi Jinping purgera-t-il en 2026 ? » a généré $74.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui Xi Jinping purgera-t-il en 2026 ? », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui Xi Jinping purgera-t-il en 2026 ? » est « Dong Jun » à 17%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 17% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Cai Qi » à 9%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui Xi Jinping purgera-t-il en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.