Market icon

Que se passera-t-il avant GTA VI ?

Market icon

Que se passera-t-il avant GTA VI ?

$18,626,905 Vol.

Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket

$18,626,905 Vol.

Polymarket

Drake sort Iceman

$66,850 Vol.

91%

Cesse-feu Russie-Ukraine

$1,362,171 Vol.

58%

GPT-6 sorti

$604,982 Vol.

57%

Nouvel album de Playboi Carti

$679,078 Vol.

53%

Nouvel album de Rihanna

$645,121 Vol.

53%

Trump out as President

$527,074 Vol.

53%

China invades Taiwan

$1,454,532 Vol.

52%

Bitcoin atteint 1 million de dollars

$3,436,883 Vol.

49%

Jésus-Christ revient

$9,850,214 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$18,626,905
Date de fin
Jul 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
May 2, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Que se passera-t-il avant GTA VI ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Drake sort Iceman" at 91%, followed by "Cesse-feu Russie-Ukraine" at 58%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Que se passera-t-il avant GTA VI ?" has generated $18.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Que se passera-t-il avant GTA VI ?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Que se passera-t-il avant GTA VI ?" is "Drake sort Iceman" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cesse-feu Russie-Ukraine" at 58%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Que se passera-t-il avant GTA VI ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.