Trader consensus in the UEFA Champions League most cards market clusters tightly around Declan Rice (Arsenal), Álvaro Fernández Carreras (Real Madrid), and Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal) at 49% implied probabilities each, reflecting their shared lead with 4 yellow cards apiece through the league phase and early knockouts. Konrad Laimer (Bayern Munich) trails closely at 47.5% with matching disciplinary tallies, underscoring the narrow race among combative midfielders prone to tactical fouls in high-pressure fixtures. Recent round-of-16 legs saw multiple bookings for these players without triggering suspensions, keeping exposure equal as quarterfinal draws loom; Mikel Merino (Arsenal) and Kim Min-Jae (Bayern) lag slightly at 39.5% and 37.5%, while Lamine Yamal's (Barcelona) flair-driven risks cap him at 20% despite 4 cards. Remaining matches amplify upset potential for any frontrunner.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourDeclan Rice 98%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 98%
Martín Zubimendi 98%
Mikel Merino 79%
Declan Rice
98%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
98%
Martín Zubimendi
98%
Mikel Merino
79%
Kim Min-Jae
75%
Konrad Laimer
48%
Lamine Yamal
20%
Declan Rice 98%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 98%
Martín Zubimendi 98%
Mikel Merino 79%
Declan Rice
98%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
98%
Martín Zubimendi
98%
Mikel Merino
79%
Kim Min-Jae
75%
Konrad Laimer
48%
Lamine Yamal
20%
For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 23, 2026, 10:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the UEFA Champions League most cards market clusters tightly around Declan Rice (Arsenal), Álvaro Fernández Carreras (Real Madrid), and Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal) at 49% implied probabilities each, reflecting their shared lead with 4 yellow cards apiece through the league phase and early knockouts. Konrad Laimer (Bayern Munich) trails closely at 47.5% with matching disciplinary tallies, underscoring the narrow race among combative midfielders prone to tactical fouls in high-pressure fixtures. Recent round-of-16 legs saw multiple bookings for these players without triggering suspensions, keeping exposure equal as quarterfinal draws loom; Mikel Merino (Arsenal) and Kim Min-Jae (Bayern) lag slightly at 39.5% and 37.5%, while Lamine Yamal's (Barcelona) flair-driven risks cap him at 20% despite 4 cards. Remaining matches amplify upset potential for any frontrunner.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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