Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla's (TSLA) March 23 weekly close in a narrow $375-$390 band, with $380-$385 implied probability at 18.5% edging out adjacent bins amid subdued volatility expectations. This clustering reflects steady share price momentum following last week's 4% gain, driven by robust energy storage deployments offsetting softer EV deliveries in February data released March 18. Competitive pressures from BYD's aggressive pricing in China and Ford's hybrid surge in the US cap upside, while bullish FSD software update progress—highlighted in Elon Musk's March 21 X post—bolsters premium valuation multiples. Analyst consensus price target holds at $385 (average of 35 firms), with Q1 production figures due April 2 as the key near-term catalyst potentially swaying resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$375-$380 14%
$385-$390 13.5%
$395-$400 13%
$390-$395 12.4%
<$360
4%
$360-$365
4%
$365-$370
6%
$370-$375
11%
$375-$380
14%
$380-$385
18%
$385-$390
14%
$390-$395
12%
$395-$400
13%
$400-$405
5%
>$405
6%
$375-$380 14%
$385-$390 13.5%
$395-$400 13%
$390-$395 12.4%
<$360
4%
$360-$365
4%
$365-$370
6%
$370-$375
11%
$375-$380
14%
$380-$385
18%
$385-$390
14%
$390-$395
12%
$395-$400
13%
$400-$405
5%
>$405
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla's (TSLA) March 23 weekly close in a narrow $375-$390 band, with $380-$385 implied probability at 18.5% edging out adjacent bins amid subdued volatility expectations. This clustering reflects steady share price momentum following last week's 4% gain, driven by robust energy storage deployments offsetting softer EV deliveries in February data released March 18. Competitive pressures from BYD's aggressive pricing in China and Ford's hybrid surge in the US cap upside, while bullish FSD software update progress—highlighted in Elon Musk's March 21 X post—bolsters premium valuation multiples. Analyst consensus price target holds at $385 (average of 35 firms), with Q1 production figures due April 2 as the key near-term catalyst potentially swaying resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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