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Trump positive favorability on Day 100?

Market icon

Trump positive favorability on Day 100?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$327,818 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$327,818 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s favorable rating according to RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 29, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify. The resolution source will be RealClearPolitics’ Favorability Ratings poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/political-leaders, specifically the RCP average under the column labeled "Spread" checked at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the resolution date. The listed value as of the check time will be used to resolve this market regardless of the listed date range. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolitics calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%, -3.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s favorable rating according to RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 29, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify.

The resolution source will be RealClearPolitics’ Favorability Ratings poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/political-leaders, specifically the RCP average under the column labeled "Spread" checked at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the resolution date.

The listed value as of the check time will be used to resolve this market regardless of the listed date range.

Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolitics calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%, -3.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$327,818
Date de fin
29 avr. 2025
Marché ouvert
Jan 14, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s favorable rating according to RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 29, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify. The resolution source will be RealClearPolitics’ Favorability Ratings poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/political-leaders, specifically the RCP average under the column labeled "Spread" checked at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the resolution date. The listed value as of the check time will be used to resolve this market regardless of the listed date range. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolitics calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%, -3.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s favorable rating according to RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 29, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify. The resolution source will be RealClearPolitics’ Favorability Ratings poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/political-leaders, specifically the RCP average under the column labeled "Spread" checked at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the resolution date. The listed value as of the check time will be used to resolve this market regardless of the listed date range. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolitics calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%, -3.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s favorable rating according to RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 29, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify.

The resolution source will be RealClearPolitics’ Favorability Ratings poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/political-leaders, specifically the RCP average under the column labeled "Spread" checked at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the resolution date.

The listed value as of the check time will be used to resolve this market regardless of the listed date range.

Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolitics calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%, -3.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$327,818
Date de fin
29 avr. 2025
Marché ouvert
Jan 14, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s favorable rating according to RealClearPolitics is higher than his unfavorable rating on April 29, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating for a “Yes” resolution; ties will not qualify. The resolution source will be RealClearPolitics’ Favorability Ratings poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/political-leaders, specifically the RCP average under the column labeled "Spread" checked at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the resolution date. The listed value as of the check time will be used to resolve this market regardless of the listed date range. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolitics calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.8%, -3.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

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Questions fréquentes

« Trump positive favorability on Day 100? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 0% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 0¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Trump positive favorability on Day 100? » a généré $327.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 14, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Trump positive favorability on Day 100? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Trump positive favorability on Day 100? » est de 0% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Trump positive favorability on Day 100? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.