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Trump Margin of Victory in Missouri Caucus?

Market icon

Trump Margin of Victory in Missouri Caucus?

>60% 0

50-60% 0

40-50% 0

30-40% 0

Polymarket

$46,370 Vol.

>60% 0

50-60% 0

40-50% 0

30-40% 0

Polymarket

$46,370 Vol.

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>60%

$450 Vol.

Yes

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50-60%

$45,200 Vol.

No

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40-50%

$400 Vol.

No

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30-40%

$239 Vol.

No

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20-30%

$51 Vol.

No

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<20% or loses

$30 Vol.

No

Update: The Missouri Republican Party is not reporting raw vote totals, hence the margin cannot be discerned. The upper most bracket (>60%) will resolve to Yes, the rest to No.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Missouri Caucus by more than 60% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Each candidate's percentage is determined by dividing the number of votes the candidate won by the total # of votes in the election. For example if Trump gets 65% of the vote and the second place candidate gets 29% of the vote, the margin would be 65%-29% = 36%.

If no 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus takes place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Missouri Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$46,370
Date de fin
Mar 2, 2024
Marché ouvert
Mar 1, 2024, 8:58 PM ET
Update: The Missouri Republican Party is not reporting raw vote totals, hence the margin cannot be discerned. The upper most bracket (>60%) will resolve to Yes, the rest to No. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Missouri Caucus by more than 60% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each candidate's percentage is determined by dividing the number of votes the candidate won by the total # of votes in the election. For example if Trump gets 65% of the vote and the second place candidate gets 29% of the vote, the margin would be 65%-29% = 36%. If no 2024 Republican Missouri Caucus takes place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Missouri Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump Margin of Victory in Missouri Caucus?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">60%" at 100%, followed by "50-60%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump Margin of Victory in Missouri Caucus?" has generated $46.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 2, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump Margin of Victory in Missouri Caucus?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump Margin of Victory in Missouri Caucus?" is ">60%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-60%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump Margin of Victory in Missouri Caucus?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.