Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around a $14-16 million domestic opening for A24's "The Drama," reflecting solid presales tracking in the mid-teens amid Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, but tempered by conservative industry forecasts like Box Office Theory's $9-14 million range and a freshly revealed $28 million budget that heightens breakeven pressure. Early reviews post-embargo—boasting a 92% Rotten Tomatoes score yet divided critics praising the duo's chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's dark wedding comedy while noting uneven momentum—have fueled cautious optimism without sparking breakout hype akin to "Challengers'" $15 million debut. Facing tentpole competition from "Super Mario Galaxy" and "Project Hail Mary" over Easter, walkups and word-of-mouth will decide if it pushes higher or settles lower this weekend starting April 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
15-16m 37%
14-15m 35%
13-14m 32%
12-13m 32%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
<10m
26%
10-11m
31%
11-12m
31%
12-13m
32%
13-14m
32%
14-15m
35%
15-16m
37%
16-17m
11%
>17m
4%
15-16m 37%
14-15m 35%
13-14m 32%
12-13m 32%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 avr. 2026
<10m
$1 Vol.
26%
10-11m
$0 Vol.
31%
11-12m
$0 Vol.
31%
12-13m
$0 Vol.
32%
13-14m
$0 Vol.
32%
14-15m
$3 Vol.
35%
15-16m
$0 Vol.
37%
16-17m
$146 Vol.
11%
>17m
$808 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around a $14-16 million domestic opening for A24's "The Drama," reflecting solid presales tracking in the mid-teens amid Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, but tempered by conservative industry forecasts like Box Office Theory's $9-14 million range and a freshly revealed $28 million budget that heightens breakeven pressure. Early reviews post-embargo—boasting a 92% Rotten Tomatoes score yet divided critics praising the duo's chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's dark wedding comedy while noting uneven momentum—have fueled cautious optimism without sparking breakout hype akin to "Challengers'" $15 million debut. Facing tentpole competition from "Super Mario Galaxy" and "Project Hail Mary" over Easter, walkups and word-of-mouth will decide if it pushes higher or settles lower this weekend starting April 3.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$958Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around a $14-16 million domestic opening for A24's "The Drama," reflecting solid presales tracking in the mid-teens amid Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, but tempered by conservative industry forecasts like Box Office Theory's $9-14 million range and a freshly revealed $28 million budget that heightens breakeven pressure. Early reviews post-embargo—boasting a 92% Rotten Tomatoes score yet divided critics praising the duo's chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's dark wedding comedy while noting uneven momentum—have fueled cautious optimism without sparking breakout hype akin to "Challengers'" $15 million debut. Facing tentpole competition from "Super Mario Galaxy" and "Project Hail Mary" over Easter, walkups and word-of-mouth will decide if it pushes higher or settles lower this weekend starting April 3.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$958Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around a $14-16 million domestic opening for A24's "The Drama," reflecting solid presales tracking in the mid-teens amid Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, but tempered by conservative industry forecasts like Box Office Theory's $9-14 million range and a freshly revealed $28 million budget that heightens breakeven pressure. Early reviews post-embargo—boasting a 92% Rotten Tomatoes score yet divided critics praising the duo's chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's dark wedding comedy while noting uneven momentum—have fueled cautious optimism without sparking breakout hype akin to "Challengers'" $15 million debut. Facing tentpole competition from "Super Mario Galaxy" and "Project Hail Mary" over Easter, walkups and word-of-mouth will decide if it pushes higher or settles lower this weekend starting April 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes