Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Fátima Tardío as the virtual certainty to win the Sucre mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, reflecting official results from the March 2021 municipal vote where her MAS party slate secured over 50% of the vote amid low turnout and opposition fragmentation. Her commanding lead stems from strong rural support, incumbent advantages, and rivals like Richard Moscoso and Cristian Sanabria splitting anti-MAS votes. Recent Tribunal Electoral certification has locked in her victory, with minimal post-election disputes. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or Supreme Electoral Tribunal intervention, though no credible evidence has emerged to shift probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection municipale de Sucre (Bolivie)
Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Sucre (Bolivie)
Fátima Tardío 100.0%
Franz Tata García <1%
Richard Moscoso <1%
Hebert Marcelo Terrazas <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Franz Tata García
Non
Fátima Tardío
Oui
Richard Moscoso
Non
Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
Non
Cristian Sanabria
Non
Horacio Poppe
Non
Juan Antonio Jesús
Non
Enrique Leaño
Non
Wilber Chocamani
Non
Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
Non
Cecilia Calani
Non
Pablo Arízaga
Non
Fátima Tardío 100.0%
Franz Tata García <1%
Richard Moscoso <1%
Hebert Marcelo Terrazas <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Franz Tata García
Non
Fátima Tardío
Oui
Richard Moscoso
Non
Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
Non
Cristian Sanabria
Non
Horacio Poppe
Non
Juan Antonio Jesús
Non
Enrique Leaño
Non
Wilber Chocamani
Non
Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
Non
Cecilia Calani
Non
Pablo Arízaga
Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Fátima Tardío as the virtual certainty to win the Sucre mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, reflecting official results from the March 2021 municipal vote where her MAS party slate secured over 50% of the vote amid low turnout and opposition fragmentation. Her commanding lead stems from strong rural support, incumbent advantages, and rivals like Richard Moscoso and Cristian Sanabria splitting anti-MAS votes. Recent Tribunal Electoral certification has locked in her victory, with minimal post-election disputes. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or Supreme Electoral Tribunal intervention, though no credible evidence has emerged to shift probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes