Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching a ballistic missile toward Israel—their first such attack since the onset of the Iran-Israel war—while Iran struck a U.S. air base in Saudi Arabia, wounding at least 15 American troops. Saudi officials have vowed military retaliation should Houthis target kingdom assets, amid intelligence warnings of planned drone and missile strikes on vital infrastructure. This threatens the fragile truce holding since Saudi Arabia halted its 2015-2022 intervention against the Houthis, prioritizing diplomacy and economic diversification. Traders monitor Red Sea shipping risks and potential proxy escalations, with no confirmed Saudi strikes on Houthi positions since January's southern Yemen operations against separatists; direct Houthi aggression could trigger airstrikes or drone operations before late April.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAction militaire de l'Arabie Saoudite contre le Yémen par... ?
Action militaire de l'Arabie Saoudite contre le Yémen par... ?
$46,685 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 mars
3%
30 avril
35%
$46,685 Vol.
31 mars
$27,973 Vol.
3%
30 avril
$18,711 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching a ballistic missile toward Israel—their first such attack since the onset of the Iran-Israel war—while Iran struck a U.S. air base in Saudi Arabia, wounding at least 15 American troops. Saudi officials have vowed military retaliation should Houthis target kingdom assets, amid intelligence warnings of planned drone and missile strikes on vital infrastructure. This threatens the fragile truce holding since Saudi Arabia halted its 2015-2022 intervention against the Houthis, prioritizing diplomacy and economic diversification. Traders monitor Red Sea shipping risks and potential proxy escalations, with no confirmed Saudi strikes on Houthi positions since January's southern Yemen operations against separatists; direct Houthi aggression could trigger airstrikes or drone operations before late April.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volume
$46,685Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching a ballistic missile toward Israel—their first such attack since the onset of the Iran-Israel war—while Iran struck a U.S. air base in Saudi Arabia, wounding at least 15 American troops. Saudi officials have vowed military retaliation should Houthis target kingdom assets, amid intelligence warnings of planned drone and missile strikes on vital infrastructure. This threatens the fragile truce holding since Saudi Arabia halted its 2015-2022 intervention against the Houthis, prioritizing diplomacy and economic diversification. Traders monitor Red Sea shipping risks and potential proxy escalations, with no confirmed Saudi strikes on Houthi positions since January's southern Yemen operations against separatists; direct Houthi aggression could trigger airstrikes or drone operations before late April.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$46,685Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions on March 28 by launching a ballistic missile toward Israel—their first such attack since the onset of the Iran-Israel war—while Iran struck a U.S. air base in Saudi Arabia, wounding at least 15 American troops. Saudi officials have vowed military retaliation should Houthis target kingdom assets, amid intelligence warnings of planned drone and missile strikes on vital infrastructure. This threatens the fragile truce holding since Saudi Arabia halted its 2015-2022 intervention against the Houthis, prioritizing diplomacy and economic diversification. Traders monitor Red Sea shipping risks and potential proxy escalations, with no confirmed Saudi strikes on Houthi positions since January's southern Yemen operations against separatists; direct Houthi aggression could trigger airstrikes or drone operations before late April.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes