Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Manuel Saavedra at virtually certain victory in Bolivia's Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election, driven by official results from the Plurinational Electoral Organ confirming his landslide win with over 50% of votes for the Creemos Party candidate. Pre-election polling consistently showed Saavedra's dominance amid strong regional support in Bolivia's wealthiest department, bolstered by effective campaigning and limited opposition cohesion among rivals like Angélica Sosa (MAS) and Vicente Cuéllar. Recent final tallies have locked in this outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on settled electoral reality. Realistic challenges, such as recounts or judicial disputes, remain improbable absent fraud allegations gaining traction, with no major developments signaling shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du maire de Santa Cruz de la Sierra (Bolivie)
Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Santa Cruz de la Sierra (Bolivie)
Manuel Saavedra 100.0%
Angélica Sosa <1%
Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine <1%
Vicente Cuéllar <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.

Angélica Sosa
Non

Manuel Saavedra
Oui

Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine
Non

Vicente Cuéllar
Non

José Gary Áñez
Non

Jhonny Fernández
Non

Soo Hyun Chung
Non

Oscar Vargas
Non

Luciano Negrete
Non

Félix Oros
Non

Alfredo Solares
Non
Manuel Saavedra 100.0%
Angélica Sosa <1%
Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine <1%
Vicente Cuéllar <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.

Angélica Sosa
Non

Manuel Saavedra
Oui

Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine
Non

Vicente Cuéllar
Non

José Gary Áñez
Non

Jhonny Fernández
Non

Soo Hyun Chung
Non

Oscar Vargas
Non

Luciano Negrete
Non

Félix Oros
Non

Alfredo Solares
Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Manuel Saavedra at virtually certain victory in Bolivia's Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election, driven by official results from the Plurinational Electoral Organ confirming his landslide win with over 50% of votes for the Creemos Party candidate. Pre-election polling consistently showed Saavedra's dominance amid strong regional support in Bolivia's wealthiest department, bolstered by effective campaigning and limited opposition cohesion among rivals like Angélica Sosa (MAS) and Vicente Cuéllar. Recent final tallies have locked in this outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on settled electoral reality. Realistic challenges, such as recounts or judicial disputes, remain improbable absent fraud allegations gaining traction, with no major developments signaling shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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