Trader consensus positions Aaron Judge as the clear 2026 AL MVP favorite at 35% implied probability, driven by his third AL MVP award in 2025—edging Cal Raleigh in a tight BBWAA vote—via a league-leading .331 batting average, elite power (projected 49+ home runs), and New York Yankees' perennial contention boosting his counting stats. Bobby Witt Jr. holds second at 21.5%, reflecting back-to-back top-five finishes, Gold Glove-caliber shortstop defense, and Kansas City Royals' AL Central push after recent playoff berths. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) and others like Mike Trout (8.4%, health-dependent) trail amid inconsistent output or injury risks, while Raleigh (7.5%) and Gunnar Henderson (6.7%) remain competitive on 2025 momentum and positional scarcity. Spring training health checks and early lineup protection will influence initial movements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAaron Judge 35%
Bobby Witt Jr. 22%
Cal Raleigh 14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
$42,126 Vol.
$42,126 Vol.
Aaron Judge
35%
Bobby Witt Jr.
22%
Cal Raleigh
14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Mike Trout
8%
Yordan Alvarez
8%
Corey Seager
7%
Julio Rodriguez
7%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
7%
Aaron Judge 35%
Bobby Witt Jr. 22%
Cal Raleigh 14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
$42,126 Vol.
$42,126 Vol.
Aaron Judge
35%
Bobby Witt Jr.
22%
Cal Raleigh
14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Mike Trout
8%
Yordan Alvarez
8%
Corey Seager
7%
Julio Rodriguez
7%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
7%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Aaron Judge as the clear 2026 AL MVP favorite at 35% implied probability, driven by his third AL MVP award in 2025—edging Cal Raleigh in a tight BBWAA vote—via a league-leading .331 batting average, elite power (projected 49+ home runs), and New York Yankees' perennial contention boosting his counting stats. Bobby Witt Jr. holds second at 21.5%, reflecting back-to-back top-five finishes, Gold Glove-caliber shortstop defense, and Kansas City Royals' AL Central push after recent playoff berths. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) and others like Mike Trout (8.4%, health-dependent) trail amid inconsistent output or injury risks, while Raleigh (7.5%) and Gunnar Henderson (6.7%) remain competitive on 2025 momentum and positional scarcity. Spring training health checks and early lineup protection will influence initial movements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes