Aaron Judge leads trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 35.5% implied probability, bolstered by his back-to-back MVP wins in 2024-2025 and scorching spring training start with multiple home runs, including a pair in his debut and another versus the Phillies last week, signaling health and power continuity for the Yankees' lineup anchor. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 20.5% as the top challenger, fresh off a fourth-place 2025 finish with elite 8+ fWAR seasons, viral spring highlights like a triple in his Royals debut, and team fence adjustments potentially boosting his batting average and extra-base hits. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at 9.5% gains from dominant postseason leadership and prime-age projections, while Julio Rodriguez (8.0%) and Cal Raleigh (7.0%) reflect Mariners' contention upside and Raleigh's 2025 breakout, amid no major injury concerns entering Opening Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAaron Judge 36%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
Cal Raleigh 14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
Aaron Judge
36%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
Cal Raleigh
14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
Corey Seager
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
Aaron Judge 36%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
Cal Raleigh 14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
Aaron Judge
36%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
Cal Raleigh
14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
Corey Seager
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge leads trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 35.5% implied probability, bolstered by his back-to-back MVP wins in 2024-2025 and scorching spring training start with multiple home runs, including a pair in his debut and another versus the Phillies last week, signaling health and power continuity for the Yankees' lineup anchor. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 20.5% as the top challenger, fresh off a fourth-place 2025 finish with elite 8+ fWAR seasons, viral spring highlights like a triple in his Royals debut, and team fence adjustments potentially boosting his batting average and extra-base hits. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at 9.5% gains from dominant postseason leadership and prime-age projections, while Julio Rodriguez (8.0%) and Cal Raleigh (7.0%) reflect Mariners' contention upside and Raleigh's 2025 breakout, amid no major injury concerns entering Opening Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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