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Sports·EPL

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

Market icon
Sports·EPL

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

56% chance
Polymarket
NEW
56% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Manchester City's uncharacteristic slump, including a 2-0 Champions League loss to Juventus on December 11 and a 2-2 Premier League draw at Crystal Palace four days prior, has intensified scrutiny on Pep Guardiola's future, with the team fifth in the Premier League table, seven points adrift of leaders Liverpool after 16 matches. Rodri's long-term ACL absence since September has eroded midfield control, leading to defensive frailties and just one clean sheet in nine games, while key players like Nathan Aké have faced injury setbacks. Guardiola's contract expires summer 2025 with a one-year extension option, but his pattern of 4-5 year tenures at prior clubs and subtle hints at eventual departure have traders' consensus narrowly favoring a 55.5% yes probability by end-2026 amid fading four-peat title hopes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.

An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,606
Date de fin
Jan 1, 2027
Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Manchester City's uncharacteristic slump, including a 2-0 Champions League loss to Juventus on December 11 and a 2-2 Premier League draw at Crystal Palace four days prior, has intensified scrutiny on Pep Guardiola's future, with the team fifth in the Premier League table, seven points adrift of leaders Liverpool after 16 matches. Rodri's long-term ACL absence since September has eroded midfield control, leading to defensive frailties and just one clean sheet in nine games, while key players like Nathan Aké have faced injury setbacks. Guardiola's contract expires summer 2025 with a one-year extension option, but his pattern of 4-5 year tenures at prior clubs and subtle hints at eventual departure have traders' consensus narrowly favoring a 55.5% yes probability by end-2026 amid fading four-peat title hopes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered.

An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,606
Date de fin
Jan 1, 2027
Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 56% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 56¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 56% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 25, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? » est de 56% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 56% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.