Traders show overwhelming consensus (95.5% implied probability) on MrBeast's next YouTube video hitting 80-90 million views in its first week, driven by his impeccable track record of blockbuster performances. Recent uploads like "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" (October 2024) amassed over 85 million views in week one, while predecessors such as the Willy Wonka factory build topped 90 million quickly, fueled by his 330 million subscribers, clickbait-optimized thumbnails, and high-stakes challenge formats that dominate YouTube's algorithm. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores reliable viral momentum from day one. Upsets remain possible via a lukewarm concept dipping to 70-80 million or rare mega-virality breaching 90 million, with the upload date as the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 95.5%
70-80M 4.1%
90M+ <1%
<40M <1%
$1,301,206 Vol.
$1,301,206 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
4%
80-90M
96%
90M+
<1%
80-90M 95.5%
70-80M 4.1%
90M+ <1%
<40M <1%
$1,301,206 Vol.
$1,301,206 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
4%
80-90M
96%
90M+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders show overwhelming consensus (95.5% implied probability) on MrBeast's next YouTube video hitting 80-90 million views in its first week, driven by his impeccable track record of blockbuster performances. Recent uploads like "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" (October 2024) amassed over 85 million views in week one, while predecessors such as the Willy Wonka factory build topped 90 million quickly, fueled by his 330 million subscribers, clickbait-optimized thumbnails, and high-stakes challenge formats that dominate YouTube's algorithm. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores reliable viral momentum from day one. Upsets remain possible via a lukewarm concept dipping to 70-80 million or rare mega-virality breaching 90 million, with the upload date as the key near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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