Recent political rhetoric, including President Trump's late-night Truth Social posts accusing former President Obama of treason over the 2016 Russia investigation and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's July 2025 referral of related claims to the Department of Justice, has prompted DOJ reviews under Attorney General Pam Bondi. These include grand jury proceedings and document releases examining Obama-era intelligence assessments, yet no federal indictment or arrest of Obama has occurred as of mid-2026. Institutional factors such as presidential immunity for official acts, statutes of limitations, and norms against prosecuting former presidents continue to limit prospects for charges before 2027. Traders' strong consensus on the "No" outcome reflects these ongoing procedural barriers despite heightened partisan scrutiny.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent political rhetoric, including President Trump's late-night Truth Social posts accusing former President Obama of treason over the 2016 Russia investigation and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's July 2025 referral of related claims to the Department of Justice, has prompted DOJ reviews under Attorney General Pam Bondi. These include grand jury proceedings and document releases examining Obama-era intelligence assessments, yet no federal indictment or arrest of Obama has occurred as of mid-2026. Institutional factors such as presidential immunity for official acts, statutes of limitations, and norms against prosecuting former presidents continue to limit prospects for charges before 2027. Traders' strong consensus on the "No" outcome reflects these ongoing procedural barriers despite heightened partisan scrutiny.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
Volume
$7,539Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent political rhetoric, including President Trump's late-night Truth Social posts accusing former President Obama of treason over the 2016 Russia investigation and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's July 2025 referral of related claims to the Department of Justice, has prompted DOJ reviews under Attorney General Pam Bondi. These include grand jury proceedings and document releases examining Obama-era intelligence assessments, yet no federal indictment or arrest of Obama has occurred as of mid-2026. Institutional factors such as presidential immunity for official acts, statutes of limitations, and norms against prosecuting former presidents continue to limit prospects for charges before 2027. Traders' strong consensus on the "No" outcome reflects these ongoing procedural barriers despite heightened partisan scrutiny.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,539Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent political rhetoric, including President Trump's late-night Truth Social posts accusing former President Obama of treason over the 2016 Russia investigation and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's July 2025 referral of related claims to the Department of Justice, has prompted DOJ reviews under Attorney General Pam Bondi. These include grand jury proceedings and document releases examining Obama-era intelligence assessments, yet no federal indictment or arrest of Obama has occurred as of mid-2026. Institutional factors such as presidential immunity for official acts, statutes of limitations, and norms against prosecuting former presidents continue to limit prospects for charges before 2027. Traders' strong consensus on the "No" outcome reflects these ongoing procedural barriers despite heightened partisan scrutiny.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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