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Politique·Récompenses

Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026

Market icon
Politique·Récompenses

Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 11%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.6%

Donald Trump 8%

La Cour internationale de Justice 4.1%

Polymarket

$12,362,495 Vol.

Yulia Navalnaya 11%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.6%

Donald Trump 8%

La Cour internationale de Justice 4.1%

Polymarket

$12,362,495 Vol.

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Yulia Navalnaya

$91,795 Vol.

11%

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$407,390 Vol.

10%

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Donald Trump

$2,348,132 Vol.

8%

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La Cour internationale de Justice

$560,961 Vol.

4%

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Pope Leo XIV

$517,154 Vol.

4%

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UNRWA

$1,671,036 Vol.

4%

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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$422,482 Vol.

4%

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Greta Thunberg

$961,623 Vol.

3%

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Narendra Modi

$296,695 Vol.

3%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$578,546 Vol.

2%

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Titre de l’élément de groupe : António Guterres

$143,455 Vol.

2%

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Charlie Kirk

$612,168 Vol.

2%

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Xi Jinping

$806,210 Vol.

2%

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Julian Assange

$343,430 Vol.

2%

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Elon Musk

$538,987 Vol.

2%

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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$427,864 Vol.

1%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$588,632 Vol.

1%

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Khaled Mashal

$205,726 Vol.

1%

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Vladimir Poutine

$508,235 Vol.

1%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$332,248 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a highly fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya's 10.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 9.6% and Donald Trump at 7.5%, underscoring intense competition amid diverse global peace narratives. Navalnaya's frontrunner status stems from her sustained Russian opposition activism, including announcing the Alexei Navalny Prize laureate on February 16, while Zelenskyy's surge follows his formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø just days ago, honoring Ukraine's resistance. Trump's odds hold via U.S. congressional nominations and his January "Board of Peace" charter signing, though recent disinterest comments temper momentum. Pope Leo XIV's 3.9% reflects yesterday's Easter vigil call for harmony amid wars, differentiating via moral authority. With nominations closed and announcement slated for October, precursor buzz and committee surprises will drive shifts in this unpredictable awards landscape.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$12,362,495
Date de fin
10 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a highly fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Yulia Navalnaya's 10.5% implied probability narrowly leading Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 9.6% and Donald Trump at 7.5%, underscoring intense competition amid diverse global peace narratives. Navalnaya's frontrunner status stems from her sustained Russian opposition activism, including announcing the Alexei Navalny Prize laureate on February 16, while Zelenskyy's surge follows his formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø just days ago, honoring Ukraine's resistance. Trump's odds hold via U.S. congressional nominations and his January "Board of Peace" charter signing, though recent disinterest comments temper momentum. Pope Leo XIV's 3.9% reflects yesterday's Easter vigil call for harmony amid wars, differentiating via moral authority. With nominations closed and announcement slated for October, precursor buzz and committee surprises will drive shifts in this unpredictable awards landscape.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$12,362,495
Date de fin
10 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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Questions fréquentes

« Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 20 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Yulia Navalnaya » à 11%, suivi de « Volodymyr Zelenskyy » à 10%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 11¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 11% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » a généré $12.4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 16, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 », parcourez les 20 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » est « Yulia Navalnaya » à 11%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 11% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Volodymyr Zelenskyy » à 10%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.